Originally Posted by Shoestringx
LP can't have the high straight already, gotta use three cards from the board and only A and Q are there.
So if you do catch a 5 you could scoop the pot, or maybe split with MP1.
Pot is now $84 and you have $12 to call, though you will probably get raised by MP1 as he is likely padding the pot with a made low while 3 people are still involved.
Let's reach a little here, you'd need to spend $18 (most likely) to get to the river, the pot would be $120. Almost 7-1 pot odds. So.... what hands are you a 7-1 dog too?
I realize that you are likely to split so $18 into $60 is right about the 3-1 odds that your 15 outs give you.
Honestly I'd likely call in this situation, but I confess to know very little about PLO8 as I don't play it very much.
Incidentally, did you have any reads on these players?
What I mean by "has the high straight" is that he plays high cards, and probably has the OESD or hole draw (needs to river one of his hole cards) to get the straight. The upshot is that I figure he will win the high hand if I do not hit the K or heart on the river.
You're obviously thinking just like me on the math side of things - I do figure 3.5 to 1 for half the pot, and I have around 15 outs to make one or both of the hi and lo pot.
Its a lot harder to get reads in O8 (mostly because so many more people play each hand and with a much wider range than NLHE), but LP has tended to play for high hands, while MP has won a couple of hi's and a couple of lo's since I've been at the table. Neither one is significantly more aggressive/loose/weak/passive than the average O8 player.
oh yeah, one error I noticed in my posting: the flop/turn should read like this, sorry for any confusion:
not great, but not bad...
SB check , I bet $3, MP1 call, MP2 fold, LP raises to $6; SB Calls
, I call, MP1 Folds
SB bets $6, I call, LP raises to $12, SB 3-bets to $18.
So I decided I want to keep this hand and will pay to draw. I'm fairly certain LP would cap it anyway, so I raise the last $6 to pretend some strength to cap the betting, both call.
Terrific, huh? I have the hi locked up!
SB bets $6, I raise to $12, LP calls, SB calls.
SB shows 2♣6♣K♣A♦
pair A, K kick for Hi
LP shows Q♦Q♣J♣10♥
Trip Q for Hi (okay, so I misread this guy completely)
no lo hand
And I end up with
Flush, A high for Hi (I win)
A2346 lo - split the low.
3/4 of $156. I love poker.
I thought it was a great play at the time, but now I'm not so sure. I know answers from this point on may be result orientated, but any other thoughts?