Overpair facing river shove, can only beat a bluff (200nl FR)

MP2: $364
CO: $202
BTN: $200
SB: $269.30
BB: $120
Hero (UTG): $269.75
UTG+1: $94.05
MP1: $186.80

Pre-Flop: T T dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to $8, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls $8, 3 folds, SB calls $7, BB folds

Flop: ($26) 2 4 4 (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $16, MP1 calls $16, SB folds

Turn: ($58) 4 (2 Players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets $30, Hero calls $30

River: ($118) 6 (2 Players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets $132.80 and is All-In, Hero ???

Villain is 14/10/4.3, definitely aggressive enough for this to be a bluff, but that's pretty much all I beat. 77-99 isn't shoving here is it? There's the flopped flush draw, and AKh seems to fit the line, but that's just such a small part of his range. Also expect the really high pairs to 3-bet. Is his range enough bluffs here to call or am I just getting married to an overpair on a trip board with unders?

I doubt he flats preflop OOP with JJ+, so unless he holds the case 4 (or hit his set of 6s on the river) you're ahead. Since those hands are so unlikely I call (but I can be a station).

The turn & river bets don't make a whole lot of sense coupled together. Why make a value type bet and then shove? He's either flatted you with JJ, or has turned a smaller pocket pair into a bluff. That's a pretty narrow range! And the way he's doing it is pretty weird.

I think he's more than capable of turning a hand like 33, 55, any flush draw into a bluff in this spot. I don't mind calling here. But I'd expect to see 66 as a large portion of his range.

c9h13no3 said:

I think he's more than capable of turning a hand like 33, 55, any flush draw into a bluff in this spot. I don't mind calling here. But I'd expect to see 66 as a large portion of his range.

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This pretty much.