schnozzinkobenstein
Rock Star
Silver Level
pokerstars Game #23272208924: Omaha Hi/Lo No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2008/12/26 13:59:49 ET
Table 'Saldanha IV' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: vualuck ($23.10 in chips)
Seat 2: terps1945 ($24.95 in chips)
Seat 3: Scheffi3 ($10.20 in chips)
Seat 4: heinzili ($18.75 in chips)
Seat 5: Steinitz ($6 in chips)
Seat 6: Jeder lacht ($28.25 in chips)
Seat 7: PROF SURF ($24.05 in chips)
Seat 8: jameslion ($8.35 in chips)
Seat 9: MEDTEK303 ($7.45 in chips)
jameslion: posts small blind $0.10
MEDTEK303: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Jeder lacht [Qh Jh 6s Kh]
vualuck: calls $0.25
terps1945: folds
Scheffi3: folds
heinzili: calls $0.25
Steinitz: folds
Jeder lacht: raises $0.75 to $1
PROF SURF: folds
jameslion: folds
MEDTEK303: folds
vualuck: calls $0.75
heinzili: calls $0.75
*** FLOP *** [Ad 4s Tc]
vualuck: checks
heinzili: checks
Jeder lacht: bets $1
vualuck: folds
heinzili: calls $1
*** TURN *** [Ad 4s Tc] [Qd]
heinzili: checks
Jeder lacht: bets $1
heinzili: calls $1
*** RIVER *** [Ad 4s Tc Qd] [5s]
I have the nuts. What should I do now? I have my own ideas, but they could be subconsciously based off the results, so I will let you guys go at it. I probably did stuff wrong before then too, so feel free to let me know.
On the flop, I have a 20% chance to hit the nuts on the turn (9 out of 45). On the turn I have the current nuts. I have a 59% chance to keep the nuts after the river (26 cards do not hurt me, 26/44). Are these odds right? Are these the odds I should be thinking about?
Based off of these odds, I think the flop bet was not +EV because I'm getting 1:3 pot odds on a 20% chance. Was the turn bet +EV? I have the nuts right now, but a low hand could come out and I'm not getting it, that would give me a 1:1 return if he has it. Plus my hand could be beat on the river, giving me 0 return. There's a 39% chance for a low hand to come out that I get to keep the nuts (17/44), and a 41% chance that I lose the nuts. What should I be thinking when I realize that?
Now that I've thought this through, should I have just checked through the entire hand?
I greatly appreciate your help, guys and ladies!
Table 'Saldanha IV' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: vualuck ($23.10 in chips)
Seat 2: terps1945 ($24.95 in chips)
Seat 3: Scheffi3 ($10.20 in chips)
Seat 4: heinzili ($18.75 in chips)
Seat 5: Steinitz ($6 in chips)
Seat 6: Jeder lacht ($28.25 in chips)
Seat 7: PROF SURF ($24.05 in chips)
Seat 8: jameslion ($8.35 in chips)
Seat 9: MEDTEK303 ($7.45 in chips)
jameslion: posts small blind $0.10
MEDTEK303: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Jeder lacht [Qh Jh 6s Kh]
vualuck: calls $0.25
terps1945: folds
Scheffi3: folds
heinzili: calls $0.25
Steinitz: folds
Jeder lacht: raises $0.75 to $1
PROF SURF: folds
jameslion: folds
MEDTEK303: folds
vualuck: calls $0.75
heinzili: calls $0.75
*** FLOP *** [Ad 4s Tc]
vualuck: checks
heinzili: checks
Jeder lacht: bets $1
vualuck: folds
heinzili: calls $1
*** TURN *** [Ad 4s Tc] [Qd]
heinzili: checks
Jeder lacht: bets $1
heinzili: calls $1
*** RIVER *** [Ad 4s Tc Qd] [5s]
I have the nuts. What should I do now? I have my own ideas, but they could be subconsciously based off the results, so I will let you guys go at it. I probably did stuff wrong before then too, so feel free to let me know.
On the flop, I have a 20% chance to hit the nuts on the turn (9 out of 45). On the turn I have the current nuts. I have a 59% chance to keep the nuts after the river (26 cards do not hurt me, 26/44). Are these odds right? Are these the odds I should be thinking about?
Based off of these odds, I think the flop bet was not +EV because I'm getting 1:3 pot odds on a 20% chance. Was the turn bet +EV? I have the nuts right now, but a low hand could come out and I'm not getting it, that would give me a 1:1 return if he has it. Plus my hand could be beat on the river, giving me 0 return. There's a 39% chance for a low hand to come out that I get to keep the nuts (17/44), and a 41% chance that I lose the nuts. What should I be thinking when I realize that?
Now that I've thought this through, should I have just checked through the entire hand?
I greatly appreciate your help, guys and ladies!
