JJs played to aggressive???

P

PokerBrat010

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joeaugie

joeaugie

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What could he have that he would make a raise like this and you beat?

The only hands you are beating are A10, K10, Q10, J10 combinations plus flush draws (but even flush draws have lots of equity against you.) If he is a tilting massive bluffer, its a fine play....but you need lots of evidence to conclude this besides one hand.

However, if he only does this play with sets, flush draws, and two pair (56 being the only likely two pair) then your equity is pretty bad even though you are ahead of some flush draws.

Having a HUD helps.....if this player has low aggression stats than it's a fold.

Having said all that.......his raise size indicates strength. So......lets compare your hand to the following possibilities.

100,000 iterations from free Poker Odds-Calculator at PokerRanges.com: (I found these resources online and have no affiliation with them, just thought it would be helpful)

Hero's hand: J:heart: J:spade: | Board: 6:club: 5:club: T:diamond:
Range: AT, JT, KT, QT, 55-66, TT, KcAc, QcKc, JcQc, TcJc, 9cTc, 8c9c, 7c8c

Overall Odds:
Win: 62.8%
Tie: 0.0%
Lose: 37.2%
 
slycbnew

slycbnew

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No, we're not folding the flop, we have an overpair and there are quite a few draws out there.

pf, though, the raise is too small - make it at least 4.5xbb (3.5xbb +1bb for limper) - after seeing the limp/call oop w sc's, make a note to increase to at least 5.5xbb against him specifically.
 
slycbnew

slycbnew

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Having said all that.......his raise size indicates strength. So......lets compare your hand to the following possibilities.

100,000 iterations from free Poker Odds-Calculator at PokerRanges.com: (I found these resources online and have no affiliation with them, just thought it would be helpful)

Hero's hand: J J | Board: 6 5 T
Range: AT, JT, KT, QT, 55-66, TT, KcAc, QcKc, JcQc, TcJc, 9cTc, 8c9c, 7c8c

Overall Odds:
Win: 62.8%
Tie: 0.0%
Lose: 37.2%

This is a good demonstration of why we need to call here, unless we have a read that his minimum hand range is 2 pr.
 
WVHillbilly

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Yeah, 62.8% equity is a great reason to call, not fold.

Also lol at that hh being in a readable format!
 
Sean Pilgrim

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Huh... Good call. Do you know what your Hero stats are?
 
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