JacksonBrown
Enthusiast
Silver Level
Did I really just get Exploited by an overbet?
partypoker - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 112.4 BB (VPIP: 9.09, PFR: 6.12, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 101)
Hero (SB): 109 BB
BB: 130.8 BB (VPIP: 23.49, PFR: 19.43, 3Bet Preflop: 7.59, Hands: 1,928)
UTG: 139.6 BB (VPIP: 30.08, PFR: 15.45, 3Bet Preflop: 5.45, Hands: 125)
MP: 49.6 BB (VPIP: 22.28, PFR: 15.60, 3Bet Preflop: 6.75, Hands: 617)
CO: 126.2 BB (VPIP: 34.43, PFR: 19.67, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 64)
Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has As Td
fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB
Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) Ks Ts 6h
Hero checks, BB bets 4.2 BB, Hero calls 4.2 BB
Turn: (14.4 BB, 2 players) 8h
Hero checks, BB bets 23 BB, fold,
I view BB as a solid winning SLAG who is over a small 2k sample is (19bb/100) I know it's a small sample but I've played with him enough to know he crushes 5nl. And he's definitely doing this by exploiting his opponents.
villain probably views me as a solid reg as well based on win rate and past hand experiences. Also views me as TAG but I can be a bit passive post flop oop especially vs aggressive opponents.
Does this overbet mean only nutted hands? Two pair+?
Or is there a huge chance because my range is capped in this spot 9/10 times and I have so few combos ott that can call or raise vs this sizing. Villain could be exploiting me.
It also seemed like villain was setting up for a river jam based on turn sizing. So maybe discount some chance of him having total air. And to overbet w/ a draw makes more sense than betting pot would given the additional fold equity villain obtains from the overbet. And If I call a pot sized bet ott it means that on a brick riv I probably don't fold. So to get me to fold out almost my entire range on single turn bet instead of having me possibly call down turn and river with my most of my Kx well that's just genius bet sizing.
Maybe I'm overthinking the situation and this guy isn't a genius and really did have a nutted hand by the turn and wanted to protect his equity on this super wet board. But there is a possibility he did exploit me and if he did could very well have had any 2 cards and still shown a profit.
So I guess my new question is how often should we be x/c vs x/r vs just betting are nutted hands on wet boards like this one to achieve a good balance and be less exploitable.
partypoker - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 112.4 BB (VPIP: 9.09, PFR: 6.12, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 101)
Hero (SB): 109 BB
BB: 130.8 BB (VPIP: 23.49, PFR: 19.43, 3Bet Preflop: 7.59, Hands: 1,928)
UTG: 139.6 BB (VPIP: 30.08, PFR: 15.45, 3Bet Preflop: 5.45, Hands: 125)
MP: 49.6 BB (VPIP: 22.28, PFR: 15.60, 3Bet Preflop: 6.75, Hands: 617)
CO: 126.2 BB (VPIP: 34.43, PFR: 19.67, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 64)
Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has As Td
fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB
Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) Ks Ts 6h
Hero checks, BB bets 4.2 BB, Hero calls 4.2 BB
Turn: (14.4 BB, 2 players) 8h
Hero checks, BB bets 23 BB, fold,
I view BB as a solid winning SLAG who is over a small 2k sample is (19bb/100) I know it's a small sample but I've played with him enough to know he crushes 5nl. And he's definitely doing this by exploiting his opponents.
villain probably views me as a solid reg as well based on win rate and past hand experiences. Also views me as TAG but I can be a bit passive post flop oop especially vs aggressive opponents.
Does this overbet mean only nutted hands? Two pair+?
Or is there a huge chance because my range is capped in this spot 9/10 times and I have so few combos ott that can call or raise vs this sizing. Villain could be exploiting me.
It also seemed like villain was setting up for a river jam based on turn sizing. So maybe discount some chance of him having total air. And to overbet w/ a draw makes more sense than betting pot would given the additional fold equity villain obtains from the overbet. And If I call a pot sized bet ott it means that on a brick riv I probably don't fold. So to get me to fold out almost my entire range on single turn bet instead of having me possibly call down turn and river with my most of my Kx well that's just genius bet sizing.
Maybe I'm overthinking the situation and this guy isn't a genius and really did have a nutted hand by the turn and wanted to protect his equity on this super wet board. But there is a possibility he did exploit me and if he did could very well have had any 2 cards and still shown a profit.
So I guess my new question is how often should we be x/c vs x/r vs just betting are nutted hands on wet boards like this one to achieve a good balance and be less exploitable.