Full House - Stacked Off Light?

The thing that angers me is that i would have just called the river bet but after reading what somebody posted on one of my other hand histories i deiced to re-raise. I suspected that he had a better hand, should i embrace the cold deck for the sake of value in the long run; is that profitable?

How does the ace hitting the river change anything? Should i be more / less inclined to stack off?

Villain - unknown

100NL 6MAX

Cheers

Hero ($147.28)
CO ($102.65)
Button ($114.48)
SB ($66.73)
BB ($106.39)
UTG ($115.41)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 6 , 6 .
UTG raises to $3, Hero calls $3, 1 fold, Button calls $3, 2 folds.

Flop: ($10.50) T , 6 , Q (3 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $5, Button calls $5, UTG folds.

Turn: ($20.50) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $8, Button calls $8.

River: ($36.50) A (2 players)
Hero bets $25, Button raises to $50, Hero raises to $82, Button calls $114.48 (All-In).

Final Pot: $200.50

Results in white below:
Hero has 6s 6d (full house, sixes full of queens).
Button has Td Qc (full house, queens full of tens).
Outcome: Button wins $200.50. Hero wins $82.48.

BTN could be raising river with KJ, trip Q, a better full house or quads. You're ahead of that range and he'll stack with all of it, so i like the raise.

Ace on the river is great card for us as is completes the straight for KJ who should not stack to us, and it and does not increase the chances of a better FH as AQ or AA would most likely have 3bet preflop.

Just a cooler. As Belgo said you will win more times that you will be cooler'd.

I sense that i was beat, so what is the line of action / train of thought about raising in these situations as they come up a lot...

I sense I'm beat, i tell myself that i am being paranoid / that there is more equity in shoving in these spots

How should i proceed / view these situations?

Thanks

ColdDeckCity said:

I sense that i was beat

Click to expand...

Unless you haven proven extra-sensoriel abilities (which, afaik, would be a first in human history), you should rely on ranges and probabilities, not on "sensing".

In the worst case, i.e. villain flat calls preflop with hands as good as AA, QQ, TT and AQ, then we still have a big lead over villain's range of good trips, straights and boats:

Hand 0: 62.745% 62.75% 00.00% 32 0.00 { 6d6s }
Hand 1: 37.255% 37.25% 00.00% 19 0.00 { AA, QQ, TT, AQs, KJs+, QTs+, AQo, KJo+, QTo+ }

I think AA, QQ and a lot of times TT or AQ would 3bet preflop here, so I'll removed the pocket pairs and leave AQ, that makes it

Hand 0: 72.727% 72.73% 00.00% 32 0.00 { 6d6s }
Hand 1: 27.273% 27.27% 00.00% 12 0.00 { AQs, KJs+, QTs+, AQo, KJo+, QTo+ }

Even if you think he does not stack with trips but only with straights and boats you're still ahead

Hand 0: 57.143% 57.14% 00.00% 16 0.00 { 6d6s }
Hand 1: 42.857% 42.86% 00.00% 12 0.00 { AQs, KJs, QTs, AQo, KJo, QTo }

I'm not a huge fan of bet/3-betting the river with an underfull on an ace river. But I suppose we can still get looked up by worse, especially since button only called. Definitely a bit of a cooler there.

Thanks for the comments guys

Not stacking here is a serious leak, imo. Too much pays us off, and there's too little in his (realistic) range that has us beat.