€5 NLHE Full Ring: Help analysing losing hand and thinking
Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF):
Hi, so here goes...
I am playing on a table with one particular guy who is 19/15 and I have 350 PT hands on him. He multi tables and has a modest win rate at online tourneys.
So I have his range at 10/10+ for opening.
I am dealt QQ.
He raises to 3bb pre flop, I 3 bet to 6bb, he calls. (Mistake 1 - should have gone to 9bb?) Anyhow, as he didn't 4 bet me, I am thinking not qq+, possibly pocket 10s or pocket jacks.
Flop comes, I am still over, I bet 2/3 of the pot, he calls, so I am so far happy with my thinking that it's a pair, 10s or jacks. If he had a set he would have raised I think, and anyway I ranged him opening 10/10+. Any broadway hand I figured he would fold.
Turn comes an 8, so I figure I am safe to shove (mistake no 2 - not sure why I thought to shove here, I guess to either get him to commit what he thought was an overpair, or to fold.)
Anyhoo, he calls, and the rest is history.
Please would you critique my thinking and play and let me know if I was on the right lines or misjudging.
How do you think he read me ? (TagFish, 23/14/12)
Thanks in advance for the analysis.
PokerStars - €0.05 NL - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: 120.6 BB
(VPIP: 19.18, PFR: 14.78, 3Bet Preflop: 5.32, Hands: 323)
BTN: 24.6 BB (VPIP: 47.69, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 66)
SB: 80 BB (VPIP: 13.44, PFR: 2.15, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 189)
Hero (BB): 117.8 BB
UTG: 103.4 BB (VPIP: 14.46, PFR: 12.05, 3Bet Preflop: 13.33, Hands: 83)
MP: 50.2 BB (VPIP: 43.66, PFR: 2.82, 3Bet Preflop: 4.35, Hands: 72)
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero
posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero
, CO raises to 3 BB
, Hero raises to 6 BB
calls 3 BB
Flop: (12.4 BB, 2 players)
Hero bets 8 BB
calls 8 BB
Turn: (28.4 BB, 2 players)
Hero bets 103.8 BB and is all-in
calls 103.8 BB
River: (236 BB, 2 players)
(One Pair, Queens) (Pre 81%, Flop 86%, Turn 5%)
(Three of a Kind, Eights) (Pre 19%, Flop 14%, Turn 95%)
wins 226.2 BB