Originally Posted by BelgoSuisse
Busted flush draws don't bet the turn, do they?
It was still a regular flush draw on the turn though, not a busted one. Plenty of players semi-bluff there, especially if their opponents have shown weakness.
Your line might
represent 99, but then why did you flat call the flop? You were the pre-flop aggressor and there's only one overcard - wouldn't you have c-bet there?
I think that the flop is definitely the biggest problem here. As the pre-flop aggressor, you could have represented something like JJ+ on the flop by re-raising - that
would have been a fairly believable line. Not doing that really tipped the strength of your hand.
Also remember that your opponents aren't going to put you on just one hand. They'll put you on a range of hands - they may figure you have 99 some of the time, but something like a busted flush draw a lot more
of the time.
I don't think they're figuring you for 99, BTW, because they both called the turn. It's unlikely that they're both going to change their mind about you having it on the river after they called the turn.
So - I suggest the key here is very much what hand you
represent - if your opponents figure you for a busted flush draw even half the time then they probably call you with those lower pairs that you're trying to fold out.
c9 also makes a good point: this far into the hand, on that board, if you
don't have the Ah draw it's likely that someone else does.