Originally Posted by homerphobe
Capped pot preflop. Figured someone had an ace-jack or better kicker. Should I have fired at the pot again from early position since nobody raised the flop? Again I feared a raise on the turn and wanted to showdown QQ for cheap.
I think you played this fine, but for a slightly different reason than you. That flop was a complete nightmare for you, and to really rub it in you get smacked with a T and a J on the turn and river. There's extremely little left of your opponent's range that you can beat.
Now, about the turn... I think it's close between bet/folding and check/folding. If we bet and someone raises, it's time to get out. Very few people will be so aggressive with K-J or TT that they'll raise an ace-high flop with this much action preflop. For this reason, if I think I can at least trust my opponent enough not to hate money, I think I like bet/calling.
Much for the same reason, check/folding may be okay, depending on where the bet comes from. With three people in, it should be clear to everyone involved that that ace looks like it helped someone
. Reverse psychology: Two people have shown considerable strength preflop, and you bet into two people on an ace-high flop. That's really scary for a hand like 99. When you check the turn, I'm very hard pressed to find a somewhat normal player who doesn't happily take a free card with a hand that you can beat. Therefore, I think you can check and fold if someone bets, somewhat profitably.
As it played out, calling the river is... meh, I don't know. I don't see what you can beat. Sure, he'll have KJ sometimes, but does 99 really bet here? Maybe he would. With the read you include, a call is at worst 0 EV, so go ahead and make it and sleep better at night.