re: Poker & AK UTG: Raise gets re-raised & overcalled
Originally Posted by MrSticker
Since I don't have a dog who needs a name, I guess 4 responses will have to do.
I'm late to the party but let me give it a shot. I like the pre-flop raise, especially if that results in a 3-way pot, as you're getting great equity from a table like that. That you need to raise close to 10x the BB to scare away even most of the table is scary though.
Ok... so the flop looks ugly, but not that ugly. You still have 2 overcards, though no flush and limited straight potential. Villain bets $1 and you're offered 3:1 odds to make your the call, but there could be more to come on the turn and river.
Personally, if it's me, my instinct at a micro table is that villain is betting a flush draw. I find that newer players tend to push with flush draws, which I guess is the ultimate semi-bluff. If that's so, you're probably winning since a pair is unlikely, and you're getting the odds you need to continue. If it's anything else, you have as many as 6 outs (~12% on the turn), which is too few to call this bet.
Based on what you've said, I don't think I could ascribe probabilities on these situations that would lead to a call. I believe I'd have folded this one.