Originally Posted by ChuckTs
Looking at your stacks, I want to fold this even more. TPTK is hardly something to go to stacks with when you're this deep and getting this kind of action.
Yep I agree, including the folding on the flop 3-bet.
Villains action looks like a set or AA all the way. The only time he smooth called was PF, after that he stepped up the aggression. On the flop it's a fold for me because: 1) even if I might think I'm getting raised because the board is dry and the $4.50 is clearly a c-bet, rarely a player would raise a c-bet with a medium PP to someone who 3-bet PF, because of the fear he's up against a big PP. Think about it. You 3-bet PF, the flop comes 7-high, you bet another $4.50 and he raise to $12. What hands are going to do that? For sure not TT or JJ, he could raise with those hands only if he thinks you specifically have AK or AQ, and I don't see how he can put you on those hands. 2) your odds for peeling off another card drawing to 6 outs are terrible, with also the strong chance that you're drawing dead.
The only thing I can say is that his flop 3-bet might
be a "raise for info" type of thing, where, without a made hand, he tries to get you to fold just in case you did 3-bet PF without a high PP, so I can maybe give you the benefit of the doubt on it. Because of that, an argument can be made that by folding there (table is 5-handed) you're a bit weak and exploitable, I guess. But for sure the turn has to be a fold unless the guy is a total and clinically certified maniac, cause I agree with Chuck that with your stack sizes I don't want to go for stacks ($82+) with TP/TK given the aggressive way he's playing his hand which makes me think I'm WB or maybe drawing dead.