AK gone wrong
So I'm in this casino, playing $1-2 NL Hold'em. 9 players; two chipleaders have about a grand, three have around 300, the remaining have between 80-300. I was winning at another table, and went from my $160 buying to my current stack of around $300. But then I was moved to a new table with players who don't know me. I've been sitting here for an hour, seeing the flop not very often, and missing the flop each time and folding.
I've been watching the other players, and I think they are better than me. It's quite late- 6:30am, I arrive at the casino at 4am- and I am getting ready to leave. Just as I am about to get up, the dealer hands out my cards so I take a peek. It's AK offsuit.
I am in mid position. I raise to $20, because there are a couple of wild players just as likely to play JJ as Q4suited that I want to get rid of. Sure enough they fold, and I get only one caller (after me). He has about $500, and he has been playing very well. I think he can outplay me, but I also think that I know more about him than he knows about me.
The flop comes down Ks-Kh-Qd. I check, he checks as well. I think he has nothing, and I do not think he will put me on the K. The turn comes 3s.
He is a good player; I don't think he would call $20 preflop on K3. But he is not overly tight either, and could very well be playing K10suited etc just to keep me honest. Nor do I think he has KQ. I think that I have him. I bet $15, he raises me to $30, I reraise to $60, he goes to $100.
At this point I start to feel concerned. Is he on the spade flush draw? AQsuited? But he keeps raising me, and he only has one card left. I have indicated that I have the king, yet this doesn't seem to bother him. It's possible that I have AK of spades, or that I have KQ, given that he does not know me. So why is he raising?
I think my hand sucks, but I can't think of what he would have to beat me. At best I think he has AK suited and we will split the pot. So I go all in, hoping that he will call. He does.
He has QQ. I realize I am screwed.
The river brings another Q. I lose all my chips.
Anyways, from the flop he had me 3 to 1, but I was wondering is there a calculater that tells
what the chances are of him having QQ? I realize now that since I raised such a large amount for this table preflop and he called, QQ was quite likely. To be honest throughout the game I never really entertained the possibility of him having QQ.
So now I'm thinking that instead of pretending not to have the king, I should have bet on the flop to test his strength and see if he did have QQ. Then once we were raising each other on the turn, I could have folded... because once the river brought another Q, I would have gone all in anyway.
What do you guys think? Did I play really horribly or was it just unlucky for him to hit his Q? I know AK unsuited is not that great, but I wanted to deal with as few people as possible.