re: Poker & AK flopped nut flush draw v big rrse
You published result too soon
However, I decided to amuse myself by some counting anyway. And I've found interesting results...
If you push all in on flop and be called by a made flush - your expected loss is only ~1.865!! What does it mean?
It means that 8% is enough...
If he'll fold in only 8% cases - pushing all in brings +EV. He'll naturally fold much, much more often - so pushing is a must.
(I could, of course, make a calculation mistake, though I probably didn't)
Betting on turn means that you've decided to call his possible all in move. If you had good reasons for such a decision, it was an OK move. Otherwise, it's a nasty mistake...
However, this story has a happy end - enjoy your $100 pot... Cheers