AJo on the button

joos

joos

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pokerstars Game #17081226270: Hold'em No Limit ($0.02/$0.05) - 2008/04/29 - 14:40:34 (ET)
Table 'Kressida II' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: pocoloco81 ($7.87 in chips)
Seat 2: Terpentin84 ($13.82 in chips)
Seat 3: K.I.R.80 ($1.52 in chips)
Seat 4: stockguy101 ($1.93 in chips)
Seat 5: mogbar ($4.45 in chips)
Seat 6: steez38 ($4.68 in chips)
pocoloco81: posts small blind $0.02
Terpentin84: posts big blind $0.05
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to steez38 [Ad Jc]
K.I.R.80: folds
stockguy101: calls $0.05
mogbar: raises $0.10 to $0.15
steez38: calls $0.15
pocoloco81: folds
Terpentin84: raises $0.10 to $0.25
stockguy101: folds
mogbar: calls $0.10
steez38: calls $0.10
*** FLOP *** [Js Ac Ks]
Terpentin84: bets $0.15
mogbar: raises $0.90 to $1.05
steez38: ???

Just sat down at the table 10 hads ago. Only a 3BB raise then a min re raise is funky preflop. Cheap enough to see the flop on the min re raise with position. It being 3 way pot kinda screws me up here.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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Well lets see. We've got a mini-bet on the flop, and a potsized raised on a scary board holding top & bottom pair.

AK is certainly in Mogbar's range. I'd hope AA, and KK would 4-bet the flop but its hard to say. And I think we can count out QT here, unless villains are nuts.

I've honestly got no idea what Terpentin84 could be holding. He's way up (like 200+ bb's), and people are more likely to bluff & make moves when they're winning (because its not their money).

So since calling commits us, what can we beat:

Mogbar's Range = AK, AQ(?), KJ, JJ, maybe AT, maybe an ace + flush draw. Against this range, we're only beating weird AT, AQ hands significantly and its hard to put him on those hands. I think this is a fold against unknowns, but reads could push this to a call if you know Mogbar is fishy.

/me opts to fold.
 
white_lytning

white_lytning

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Yeah, I think its a fold too. The only way its not an easy fold is because you played with the players for a while. A lot beats you, AK most notably. There is also a pretty decent chance theres an AA, or KK too.

Fold, and wait for a better spot, where you holding the AK, and not the AJ to play a flop like this.
 
joos

joos

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I folded, Terpentin84 also folds and says that he had QQ.
 
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