Votes are: 2 "Fold", 1 "Probably Fold", 1 "Call", and 1 "Probably Call".
Well, lately I've been working on 2 techniques I read about in 'Theory of Poker'. One is 2nd & 3rd degree thinking and the other is assigning percentages to the likelyhood of my opponents' holdings in order to determine implied odds
. The first one I am picking up on well, but I've found that the second one is tough in online poker due to the short time limit they give you for your decision. But I'm also learning to somewhat combine the 2 processes.
On the turn of this hand and in my mind, I started off by pretty much eliminating him from having a 7 since he was so tight. Even though he was the Big Blind, he wouldn't have tried it. Then I heavily discounted him having 22 or 66 because he likely would have slowplayed or check-raised by now. I also thought he would have probably re-raised preflop if he had KK or QQ. So I thought "What does he think I have?" Since there are no draws on board, he's not trying to keep me from drawing. Since I raised a somewhat harmless amount pre-flop, he might think I have 2 overcards or an overpair. Was he trying to rep a 7 to get me to lay down TT or AK? Then I remembered a couple of past occurances with players just like him. A couple of other times, I've seen poor, weak, tight players get caught bluffing in similar situations because A) they aren't very good at bluffing, and B) they aren't very good at making a tough laydown when caught. So I put him on a bluff with overs and I was right.
In the short decision time given, I couldn't really assign percentages to the possibilities. But I think I got the thought proccess as right as I could in that short time.
Does the above make sense OR did I make a donkey move?
Hand #42332223-17083 at Bellmawr (No Limit Hold'em)
Started at 29/May/07 00:14:48
Poorestman is at seat 0 with $15.37.
The Wise Man is at seat 1 with $4.28.
Spocko- is at seat 2 with $19.05.
urwuthurts is at seat 3 with $21.08.
BubaGump is at seat 5 with $22.48.
Frosk is at seat 6 with $0 (sitting out).
diablo86 is at seat 7 with $19.43 (sitting out).
Sticky66 is at seat 8 with $18.43.
The button is at seat 2.
urwuthurts posts the small blind of $.10.
BubaGump posts the big blind of $.25.
Poorestman: -- --
The Wise Man: -- --
Spocko-: -- --
urwuthurts: -- --
BubaGump: -- --
Sticky66: Ah Ac
Sticky66 raises to $.75. Poorestman folds. The Wise
Man folds. Spocko- folds. urwuthurts folds.
Flop (board: 2s 6d 7c):
BubaGump bets $1.60. Sticky66 raises to $3.20.
BubaGump re-raises to $4.80. Sticky66 calls.
Turn (board: 2s 6d 7c 7h):
BubaGump bets $11.20. Sticky66 goes all-in for
$12.88. BubaGump calls.
River (board: 2s 6d 7c 7h Qh):
(no action in this round)
Sticky66 shows Ah Ac.
Sticky66 has Ah Ac 7c 7h Qh: two pair, aces and sevens.
BubaGump mucks cards.
(BubaGump has As Td.)
Hand #42332223-17083 Summary:
$1.46 is raked from a pot of $36.96.
Sticky66 wins $35.50 with two pair, aces and sevens.