$600 PLO Heads-up: PLO600 HU tricky river

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 63/55/5

Had been playing with villain for about 40-50 hands at this point and he was running 63/55 with about a 19% 3b from the BB. He has been very aggressive and has shown one bluff so far in our battle. I think my sizing might have been a little small on the turn but as played what do you recommend on this river? What do we perceive villain's range as?

Merge - $6 PL Hi (2 max) - Omaha - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

Hero (SB): $1,616.50
BB: $600.00

Hero posts SB $3.00, BB posts BB $6.00

Pre Flop: ($9.00) Hero has 8♣ 8♠ T♦ 6♣

Hero raises to $18.00, BB raises to $54.00, Hero calls $36.00

Flop: ($108.00, 2 players) A♦ 4♠ 8♦
BB bets $66.00, Hero calls $66.00

Turn: ($240.00, 2 players) T♠
BB checks, Hero bets $180.00, BB calls $180.00

River: ($600.00, 2 players) 9♠
BB bets $300.00 and is all-in, Hero???

He'll have some missed draws that you beat (diamonds, wheel) and he'll have some BD flushes/straights. As aggro as he's been though and for the price you're getting I can't see doing anything other than calling. He basically never has a bigger set since he would have ch/r or bet again on the turn.

Disclaimer: I rarely play PLO and even then never HU so I am very likely retarded in my analysis but w/e I've looked stupid before.

I'm calling. Villain looks for all the world to be bluffing a failed hand. His 63/55 adds to that vision (imho). PF stack sizes suggest you have hit him hard already, and he is looking to over aggress his way back into the thick of things. Can't help but think if villain hit the flush, he would have bet less for value, and the only worry you have would be the over set.

But we get back to the 63/55. Which, if these are HU numbers only, isn't all that outrageous is it? Are all of the numbers HU only?

Keep in mind I have no experience at any game close to this stake, but have seemingly gotten over the scared money thing.

I'm calling.

dj11 said:

I'm calling. Villain looks for all the world to be bluffing a failed hand. His 63/55 adds to that vision (imho). PF stack sizes suggest you have hit him hard already, and he is looking to over aggress his way back into the thick of things. Can't help but think if villain hit the flush, he would have bet less for value, and the only worry you have would be the over set.

But we get back to the 63/55. Which, if these are HU numbers only, isn't all that outrageous is it? Are all of the numbers HU only?

Keep in mind I have no experience at any game close to this stake, but have seemingly gotten over the scared money thing.

I'm calling.

Click to expand...

You are correct that it's all HU numbers, so the 63/55 isn't anywhere near out of line. He had been highly aggresive up to this point, and yes I have chipped up from both of us having $600 starting stacks.

dj11 said:

I'm calling. Villain looks for all the world to be bluffing a failed hand. His 63/55 adds to that vision (imho). PF stack sizes suggest you have hit him hard already, and he is looking to over aggress his way back into the thick of things. Can't help but think if villain hit the flush, he would have bet less for value, and the only worry you have would be the over set.

But we get back to the 63/55. Which, if these are HU numbers only, isn't all that outrageous is it? Are all of the numbers HU only?

Keep in mind I have no experience at any game close to this stake, but have seemingly gotten over the scared money thing.

I'm calling.

Click to expand...

Why would he have bet less for value with a flush? He only has a 1/2 pot bet left and if we're calling anything we're calling for his full stack.

WVHillbilly said:

Why would he have bet less for value with a flush? He only has a 1/2 pot bet left and if we're calling anything we're calling for his full stack.

Click to expand...

The slight possibility that his shove scares hero off. The smaller bet is scarier than the shove, but leaves room for doubt in hero.

Still think (as hero) I'm calling here to a betting story that just doesn't quite work... close, but calling.

Well if he's betting less than all-in with any of his value hands it's really really bad. There are zero hands in our range that should be calling $200 (or even $100) but folding to $300 shove.

Results:

River: ($600.00, 2 players) 9:spade:
BB bets $300.00 and is all-in, Hero calls $300.00

BB shows J:spade: J:diamond: K:club: T:heart: (One Pair, Jacks) (Pre 67%, Flop 16%, Turn 15%)
Hero shows 8:club: 8:spade: T:diamond: 6:club: (Three of a Kind, Eights) (Pre 33%, Flop 84%, Turn 85%)
Hero wins $1,199.50

In the end the way he played the hand just didn't add up to me, he obviously didn't have AA or we would have got it in on the turn and the only real hand I was worried about was KdQdJ10/QJ109. I am beating pretty much the rest of his range and with him only having a 1/2 pot bet left on the river this has to be a call 100% of the time given his playing style and the way the hand played out.

WVHillbilly said:

Well if he's betting less than all-in with any of his value hands it's really really bad. There are zero hands in our range that should be calling $200 (or even $100) but folding to $300 shove.

Click to expand...

I agree.

However, one of the duties of a good player is to induce doubt in his villains. So for that reason, a weird bet often does funny things. Like making you think I am, what did u say, weak tight?

Not really happy but calling.