[5nl FR] QQ vs set on flop?

eNTy

eNTy

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Viallain(UTG): 15/3/1.7 (37)

poker stars, $0.02/$0.05 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

UTG+1: $10 (200 bb)
Hero (MP1): $5 (100 bb)
MP2: $5.17 (103.4 bb)
MP3: $10.50 (210 bb)
CO: $2.10 (42 bb)
BTN: $10.03 (200.6 bb)
SB: $3.34 (66.8 bb)
BB: $5.95 (119 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is MP1 with Q
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Q
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UTG+1 calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.15, 6 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.37) 2
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9
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T
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(2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.20, UTG+1 raises to $1, Hero ???

That just smelled so much of a set..
Limp UTG and then a check raise. I'm pretty sure a C/R is a big sign of strength and I don't think a lot of the 5nl people will use it to bluff. I could be wrong, cause I cbet the flop real fast in the hopes that he would read me as weak and call. I guess I got what I wanted, but now I was stuck in this tough spot..

What would you do ?
 
BelgoSuisse

BelgoSuisse

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Your preflop raise is way too small. It should be 3BB+1 per limper at the very least, although 4BB+1 is probably better. It means $0.20 to $0.25 here.

On the flop, the legitimate hands for a CR are sets and T9 for two pairs. You could also see aggressive players do that with 87 or QJ, i.e. oesd. Then fishes would probably do it with top pair too, so JT, QT, AT,... Or maybe he's just on a plain bluff as your bets look so weak.

15/3/1.7 is probably nitty enough to rule out the weaker part of this range, so you're probably beat indeed. Either fold now or call and reevaluate based on villain's turn action.
 
eNTy

eNTy

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15/3/1.7 is probably nitty enough to rule out the weaker part of this range, so you're probably beat indeed. Either fold now or call and reevaluate based on villain's turn action.

So when and if I call, aren't I just dumping money away ?
Let's say he's bluffing it, or I have him currently beat with my queens, won't he fire another bullet on the turn because I got c/r and just flat called ?

Or would this be too aggressive for his stats you think ?
(small sample I know :()
 
t1riel

t1riel

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Your flop bet can be percieved as a c-bet since it's just a pot bet. I think your opponent raised to see if you really have a good hand. I'd call. Also, I would have raised more preflop.
 
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