[50nl FR] We're Beat at the River, eh?

Villian is a 28/1/1 fish after 70 hands. Generally very passive. I have a 30/27/5 image at this table.

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Dealt to UTG+1:A♦ A♠

Preflop:
1 players fold.
UTG+1 raises $1.50 to $2
5 players fold.
BB calls [$1.50]
Total folds this street: 6
Potsize: $4.25

Flop:
5♥ 5♠ 7♣
BB: checks
UTG+1 bets [$3]
BB calls [$3]
Potsize: $10.25

Turn:
K♣
BB: checks
UTG+1 bets [$8]
BB calls [$8]
Potsize: $26.25

River:
K♦
BB bets [$10]
UTG+1 ?????


I pretty much figured we're beat at the river. Or are we??

I'm not folding.

Fish will do this crap with hands that *were* scared of the K, but now aren't. This will be QQ or less, or 7x often enough. Possibly a broken straight draw. Not to mention he's offering you 3.6:1, so you have to be good here 22% of the time.

I snap this off with a quickness, altho I do think this is a slowplayed 5, or KQ that just didn't believe you on the flop quite often. Just not 79% often.

You're defiantly beat a lot here but like C9, I'm calling.

Call it... 28/1/1 will have worse here often enough. For $10 you can't fold. Yes you might be beat but you might be surprised how often something like A7, or 88-QQ show up.

You are probably beat more often than not here for sure, but yea i'm not folding AA here getting such good odds when it basically means villain had to peel flop with AK/KQ (entirely possible seeing as villain probably doesn't 3 bet anything but AA and probably doesn't want to fold AK on that flop...obviously isn't going anywhere after the turn).

just chiming in to agree. based on the flop c/c there really should be very few Ks in his range. i think you're beat by a 5 or 77 more often than a K, but this is a sort of blocking bet with 7x or any of several medium pocket pairs enough to call it with the price you're getting

Seems like the hands I posted were both pretty straightforward.

RESULT:

Site: Pokerstars
Dealt to UTG+1:A♦ A♠

Preflop:
1 players fold.
UTG+1 raises $1.50 to $2
5 players fold.
BB calls [$1.50]
Total folds this street: 6
Potsize: $4.25

Flop:
5♥ 5♠ 7♣
BB: checks
UTG+1 bets [$3]
BB calls [$3]
Potsize: $10.25

Turn:
K♣
BB: checks
UTG+1 bets [$8]
BB calls [$8]
Potsize: $26.25

River:
K♦
BB bets [$10]
UTG+1 calls [$10]

Results:
BB shows a full house, Kings full of Fives:
K♥ A♥

UTG+1 doesn't show.

BB collected $44 from pot

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He was drawing dead to running kings from the flop, that's pretty sick right there.

Heh welcome to my September, which thankfully ends in about 10.5 hours.

well not exactly, he could have hit running hearts as well

Could have sworn I saw Kd Ah
I must have been tired.