Originally Posted by WVHillbilly
I don't have positional stats on this player but his ATS is 15.
Judging from the responses thus far it seems my mistake in this hand was 3betting with AK in the 1st place?? It just seems like a spot where I don't want to see a flop with so many callers because even if I hit, I still don't want action.
ATS of 15% means most of his 7% raises are from late position, so he's exceedingly tight in EP. JJ+,AK would be my guess. Maybe he even dumps JJ.
You are behind or tied with 100% that range with AK, so it's not a great spot to raise, because you probably don't have any fold equity here, so two things can happen when you 3bet.
1. He 4bets and you either fold and play for stacks with at best 40% equity against his range. Either way you loose about $10 to $12 in EV.
2. he cold calls and you have to play out of position against a villain who you know has a better hand than yours on average, who in the best case has AK too which means your chances of hitting the flop are tiny, and where you don't even know if hitting TPTK doesn't let you drawing dead anyway. I guess that you'll loose even more than $12 on average.
I agree that cold calling is not a really nice spot either. Against that many villains TPTK will most likely not be enough, so you'd be mostly playing AKs as any other suited connector, for its straight and flush potential, which is fine. Folding is also a good option, imo.