You don't see the difference between AK AQ and 66 or 99?
Med PP have a VERY short shelf life, basically unless you make a set your done. This is doubly so when out of position. The time to make hay is pre-flop. I might just call IP, OP I'll always raise, RR, or fold (assuming I'm not getting the odds to call). With AK, I'm not afraid to see a flop. 1/3 of the time I'm going to like what I see and will probably make enough to cover the other 2/3's when I don't. Reraising probably won't win the hand outright and there's no need to thin the field as your already HU. All it does is kill your odds.
The guy is a shortstack and yes, raising might take it down so flatting AK in his position is not optimal. I'd even say that against most raisers, flatting is not optimal since you forfeit any FE you could have against a routine stealer who will probably give up the first time you defend.
And reraising 66 in the blinds is spew unless you're check/folding c-bet folding anything that doesn't it you and that is exploitable: pp pairs are nice things, but they simply suck OOP. Shostacks might go for it though. And any good villain who is tight (and shorstacked) reraises or folds 99 here: he never gets implieds to call.
Saying that villain will reraise his med pp while flatting AK is not likely, especially if you factor in that he is a shorstack. Next point. And if he doesn, more power to him the one time he tarps us in a small pot while he could be playing the near nuts agressively for a bigger pot.
Chucks only read is that the caller seems tight. Unless I have more information my first instinct is that tight means selective, not stupid or scared to bet. I'm also assuming that caller has no reason to believe that Chuck is merely trying to steal the blinds. So, unless he's got a very strong ace, he cannot neglect the possibility that Chuck also has an ace. His OP bet on that flop suggests that he's not too worried about this. Given what little we do know about BB, I'd be surprised if my 50/50 assesment isn't optimistic.
This would be true if Chuck were UTG, but any hand he wishes to play from CO, he must raise in order to try to pick up the blinds and buy the button. This is 6-max. J9s is good for a raise here always. BB must be deaf and stupid not to realize that this can be a steal a good % of the time. If you never realize this, you either don't defend enough, seeing monsters everywhere, or you don't steal enough yourself and assume everyone does so.
MP2 can be a steal in 6 max (and if you never steal from there, you are exploitable at 6-max). Next point.
His OP bet suggests that he has two cards and wants Chuck to fold or call or shove, we cannot take wild assumptions in such a spot with TPMK. If flop were Js4s5 and we had JT, would we be folding ? No. Why ? Because we have top pair on a drawy flop for BB range and he could bet his draw. Call and reevaluate turn. Surrendering now is ridiculous, might as well fold preflop.
Sorry, you're right. I must have missed that part in ChuckTs OP where he told us that his IMAGE was of a featherbrained halfwit who frolics gayly into every hand and raises every pot with kitty litter. This does open up his range quite a bit.
Knowing Chuck, he can show up with crap here sometimes if he knows the blinds are tight because he knows blind stealing is a huge part of his hourly. Sure his stats are tight, but I'd take a wild guess and say that it's because he plays very little SB, BB to a raise, UTG, UTG+1 and most of his hands from MP, CO and BTN while raising first in.
Seriously, I'm not trying to pick at you or anything, but I really don't like your line against a readless guy. We are in position on the turn, if he comes out betting again, we can then consider folding (wich I would contemplate). If he doesn't bet, we just check behind, keep the pot small and call his bet with 77, busted spades or J9 on the river. This isn't rocket science. And please read dbitel post on blind stealing if you haven't already, because 6-max is basically about frolicking with suited trash some % of the time, yeah.
Agree to disagree.