$50 NLHE Heads-up: AA villain shoves river

$50 NL HE Heads-up: AA villain shoves river

Villain was pretty aggro... called almost all 3bets in position. I think he would have re-raised the flop with an 8 or a flush draw... I think he would shove the turn with 9 10..... I put him on 7x thinking it was the nuts and then another 7 pops on the river.... I dont really see what I can beat except a pure bluff... whats your move?
full tilt poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 613243
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (BTN/SB): $50.85
BB: $68.20
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN/SB with A ♥ A ♦
BB raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, BB calls $3
Flop: ($9.00) 8 ♠ 7 ♠ 8 ♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $9, BB calls $9
Turn: ($27.00) J ♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $15, BB calls $15
River: ($57.00) 7 ♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $22.35 all in, Hero??

What was your thinking w the turn bet size? Not disagreeing, just curious, stack sizes are a little awkward.

How often do you think this Villain will shove behind w Jx or any pp if you check that river thinking you whiff a significant amount of the time/can't stand the heat w 2pr on the board? I'm not a HU player, but seems to me his range is wider than you're thinking.

Very weak turn bet..You had to go all in if you think you have the best hand.

The pot is very big and there's a chance he didn't hit a spade or his 56o or 96 didn't hit straight..etc.

He had the odds to draw to a gut-shot after your weak $15 bet into $27 pot and he's definitely going all in on the river if you check to him ,even with a missed draw.

Your weak turn bet also looks like you have 99 or TT and you are scared from the J.

I think you have to call. You can beat at least half of the hands which will shove the river if checked to.. Moreover, $22.35 to win a $79.35 is very good ,which means that you have to win 1 out of 4 such spots to make it a good call.

I hear folding top two in a 3-bet pot is kinda a bad idea. Why'd you bet so much on the flop btw? And I probably shove the river, as its kinda a good board to hero call on with any sort of pair or ace high.

matt20 said:

Villain was pretty aggro... called almost all 3bets in position. I think he would have re-raised the flop with an 8 or a flush draw... I think he would shove the turn with 9 10..... I put him on 7x thinking it was the nuts and then another 7 pops on the river.... I dont really see what I can beat except a pure bluff... whats your move?
Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 613243
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (BTN/SB): $50.85
BB: $68.20
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN/SB with A ♥ A ♦
BB raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, BB calls $3
Flop: ($9.00) 8 ♠ 7 ♠ 8 ♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $5, BB calls $5
Turn: ($19.00) J ♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $10, BB calls $10
River: ($39.00) 7 ♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $39 all in, Hero??

Click to expand...

On this flop i think any pair 99+ is calling your flop bet, any monster is calling, any draw is raising, and any overs are folding to the pot bet.
betting 1/2 to 2/3's is usaually enough to get rid of most hands in this situation so there is no need to bet more as the times you bluff this flop it works out cheaper too.

When the turn card comes its also a good double barrell card for you to bluff at and for value as i agree with you 910o didn't call pre or flop but 9 10s would have, but thats a very small part of what he could be holding.
As mentioned before, the bets a bit strange, it commits you to a certain extent as you can always fold, 1/2 pot again would have set stacks up for the river anyway and id be happy calling an all in

whats beating you,
77,88,JJ,910s. its a very small range but when he calls the turn again and with him being aggro (not a station) id be getting worried, but id be betting my stack off on the river due to the fact its virtually in any way.
and the read on villian might come in handy later on as its just costing u 1/2 a stack to see the river and you might still be best.

I changed the game to how it might have gone. When he pots bet the river it makes it an easier fold. what do you think? also he might not shove here anyway which makes a call cheaper.

I also want to know how the BB is acting first in a HU game.

Anybody else think checking the river is basically inviting the shove? Frankly you are getting 3.5+to1 and I don't see how you can let this go.

I assume this was all part of your plan since pushing folds out alot of weaker hands while check/calling gets that whole range to bluff/value bet.

c9h13no3 said:

I also want to know how the BB is acting first in a HU game.

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+1, and hero is BTN/SB? I don't really get that either...

When its heads up button always posts the small blind

bgomez89 said:

When its heads up button always posts the small blind

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Yes, very good. Now think harder.

I think your hand is beating his range. Turn bet was when he showed weakness by betting small compared to pot. I'm pretty sure aces are good here 50% of the time at least probably more then 50. I can't see him having a straight or trips. I think he has a weak 7 looking to bluff the river. That check on the river might made you look like you had a flush draw which missed so that might be another reason why he shoved the river. I think he's bluffing but I could be wrong and you are close to being pot stuck and your getting 2:1 so you only need to be right 33% of the time to be in $$

c9h13no3 said:

Yes, very good. Now think harder.

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i thought the other guy was wondering why the button was the SB