$50 NLHE Full Ring: JJ vs nit 3bet button, questionable river decission - also set mining vs nits?
Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF):
3bet 10% from button, (36 hands)
100% cbet in 3bet pot (3 hands).
Firstly I call preflop, becuase his 3 bet from button is noticably higher than all of his other 3 bet postions which are in the 3% region, also I call becuase if he has got Aces kings or even queens I hit a set its over for him, uber nits arnt folding overpairs since they wait all day for them ' hey I got me an overpair, gunna stack this off mentality'
I call the flop becuase I feel I could be ahead and probably folding to a turn bet since the nit aint going to double barrel air, as planned he checks so I think i'm ahead, then he makes a bet on the river, ....I dont see how he can be bullshitting but its possible? I think its a fold but that check on the turn got me thinking.
Just want to know wht you think of the overall thought analysis on the hand also
if this nit only 3 bets aces and kings, which he shoves postflop no matter what, is it still profitable to call for a set mine?, massive ev, or slim ev? ,or -ev?
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (7 handed)
Hero (MP2) ($95.16)
: Hero is MP2 with J
, J[image: http://www.handhistoryconverter.com/poker-cards/spade.gif]
, Hero bets $1.50
, 1 fold
, Button raises $5.25
, 2 folds
, Hero calls $3.75
: ($11.25) 3[image: http://www.handhistoryconverter.com/poker-cards/spade.gif], 8[image: http://www.handhistoryconverter.com/poker-cards/diamond.gif], 2[image: http://www.handhistoryconverter.com/poker-cards/heart.gif] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $7
, Hero calls $7
: ($25.25) 4[image: http://www.handhistoryconverter.com/poker-cards/diamond.gif] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks
: ($25.25) 6[image: http://www.handhistoryconverter.com/poker-cards/diamond.gif] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $14
, Hero ?
Total Pot- 39.25