re: Poker & $50 NLHE Full Ring: Bovada, KK VS shortstack, facing river shoving
Originally Posted by TheBigFinn
Ignoring the result, what is likely range preflop? Ace X hands have to be 40% of it. Checking the flop is standard. Checking calling the turn with a Ace low is also standard. Pushing the river with any ace on a river brick is a money play. You got lucky, IMHO. Not hugely lucky, but I think your call was negative Sklansky bucks.
how did you get weak A has 40% of his range?
his VP 58%
all cards combo, 52X51/2=1326
and 50% is 600 something
if his limp call is tighter like 50% of that
let's think 28% combo
weak A , even from AJ to A2
because there is one A on the board
so each AJ is 12.
AJ , AT, A9, A8, A7, A6, A5, A4, A3, A2 =120 combo
120 combo/370 <33%
where did you got the conclusion of 40%?
and because the board has 9,T, 2, 5,
weak ace combo is less than I put here.