$50 NLHE Full Ring: Is this a good spot to 3bet A4s btn pre ?

$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem (8 players)
SB: $51.75
BB: $50
UTG: $50
UTG+1: $103.54
MP: $52.82 VPIP 14/11/ AGG 2.7 FLD TO 3BET 65% OF (43) HANDS 4,700
MP+1: $78.48
CO: $49.81 VPIP 30/15/ AGG 1.9 FLD TO 3BET 67% OF (3) HANDS 284
BTN Hero: $59.05

Pre-flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN and dealt
2 folds, MP raises to $1.50, MP+1 folds, CO calls $1.50,

Hero ???

A) 3bet because opener Flds to 3bets over 63% which is +EV . (and how much should we make it??)

B) flat because we have pos.

C) Fold and wait for better hand.

D) Other because wv is intrigued :driver:

$5.25 Bob.

Great spot to squeeze.

Chris

ALL IN CLUBS said:

Chris

Click to expand...

Well, now its Drew, but it used to be Bob.

Squeeze. I'd go $5.

This should be an extremely easy flat unless the blinds are squeeze-monkeys.

Explain why, because you clearly have the minority opinion.

hackmeplz said:

This should be an extremely easy flat unless the blinds are squeeze-monkeys.

Click to expand...

What's the point of flatting? Correct me if I'm wrong, but aren't we severely dominated by a the majority of the villain's opening range? Position might be king, but I don't think flatting is optimal here. I like the 3-bet. Dunno about standard sizing at 50NL (I'm a super-micro player ), but I like keeping it at 10bb, so $5.

I used to read this post and think wooo squeeze squeeze but the guy is pretty nitty and opening from MP, im guessing he folds to most of his 3bets when he's on the button or CO, so the fold to 3bet stat may be pretty skewed here so if he's not actually folding 60% of the time in MP he's im gonna guess his caling range has a lot of bigger aces which dominate us in it.

I dunno, it looks like a good spot to squeeze he probably folds quite a lot in this spot :/

I wanna squeeze to get heads up with the fishy looking player but i dont know if its great because reg will call wider knowing fishy player is going to come along everytime also... Tricky.

edit: yeah my post contradicts itself i really dont know if MP folds a lot or comes along a lot here.

This one is annoying me, i hope sixpeppers or someone comes along and clears up the best play cause i can honestly see benefits for squeezing and flatting.

Info on dynamics would be useful here but I'll assume AiC is playing nitty and hasn't gotten out of line vs. this guy.

I'd squeeze and (ldfo) give up if MP comes over the top. If you get flatted I'd guess it's going to be CO more often than MP here, and I'd fire with air most of the time and probably pot-control/check back flop if we hit top pair or something.

people are going to be folding way more than their fold to 3bet stat to a squeeze, without history especially and I agree with chris that AIC wont have been squeezing a tonne. What is his raise first in for MP?
I squeeze if no fishy players behind and a squeeze/cbet will take it down a tonne, I assume that MP is like all other fish and play fit/fold postflop in 3bet pots. I would play postflop exactly the same as chris pot control TPs/bluff catch and fire if we completely brick/FD