$50 NLHE Full Ring: 50nl -Ace high hero call or not?

CheckraiseLife

CheckraiseLife

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 61/25/2

Villain is vpip 61/pfr 25/af2

seems to me on the flop and turn there is alot of semi bluff draws and the river could bea bluff my question is lognterm do you think its a hero call or a fold here?

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (7 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP2 ($54)
CO ($17.50)
Button ($50.10)
Hero (SB) ($50)
BB ($50)
UTG ($24.05)
MP1 ($117)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A
club.gif
, K
club.gif

1 fold, UTG calls $0.50, 4 folds, Hero bets $2.50, UTG calls $2.50

Flop: ($5.25) 4
spade.gif
, 6
club.gif
, 5
diamond.gif
(2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks

Turn: ($5.25) 6
diamond.gif
(2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

River: ($14.25) J
club.gif
(2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $11.25
Total pot: $14.25

Hero?

I know this usually is the fish tell - when they bet big they got it but this board is soaked with missed draws
 
KardKlub

KardKlub

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When the board pairs and he bets I'm giving up
 
B

badaboombaa

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Looks good most fish would bet 6x when checked to and J makes it so he probably won't bet 77-TT that bit on the river so basically you lose to like AJ maybe? Like you said ton of missed draws good call imo.
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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Looks good most fish would bet 6x when checked to and J makes it so he probably won't bet 77-TT that bit on the river so basically you lose to the random 4x/5x that bet for no reason

fyp, but agree for the most part.
 
CheckraiseLife

CheckraiseLife

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still thinking about this today I think its not bad either choice I take here.
however if I call the turn I think I call the river if it came down in this fashion.

HOWEVER - the call on the turn actually might not be so great becuase lognterm he will hit his draws occasionaly I will have to fold the dead money and the times i'm beaten I call the river raise, and he might not always bluff the river if he misses making the times he bets and value pwns me -ev am I thinkign correctly about this.
 
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moneybagz718

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me being hero i'd raise the flop soon as it came out prob 3 4x's big blind with a k being that i raised pre-flop.but that being said if i ended up the way hero ended up on the river i would fold to big of a bet to call with ak high
 
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badaboombaa

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still thinking about this today I think its not bad either choice I take here.
however if I call the turn I think I call the river if it came down in this fashion.

HOWEVER - the call on the turn actually might not be so great becuase lognterm he will hit his draws occasionaly I will have to fold the dead money and the times i'm beaten I call the river raise, and he might not always bluff the river if he misses making the times he bets and value pwns me -ev am I thinkign correctly about this.

eh I mean you're ahead of his range on the turn I think just because of that it's a call unless we're gonna make a huge mistake on the river which I don't think is true.
 
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