€50 NLHE 6-max: Are you going to go all in or just call?

Thinker_145

Thinker_145

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iPoker - €0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 34 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 3)
BB: 38.88 BB (VPIP: 52.68, PFR: 33.93, 3Bet Preflop: 17.95, Hands: 114)
UTG: 194.66 BB (VPIP: 63.16, PFR: 29.82, 3Bet Preflop: 23.08, Hands: 58)
MP: 92.44 BB (VPIP: 64.29, PFR: 35.71, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
Hero (CO): 155.72 BB
BTN: 361.24 BB (VPIP: 22.30, PFR: 15.88, 3Bet Preflop: 6.50, Hands: 308)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:club: Q:heart:

UTG calls 1 BB, MP calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 5.5 BB, BTN calls 5.5 BB, fold, fold, UTG calls 4.5 BB, fold

Flop: (19 BB, 3 players) 7:heart: 5:diamond: 7:diamond:
UTG checks, Hero bets 17.1 BB, BTN calls 17.1 BB, UTG calls 17.1 BB

Turn: (70.3 BB, 3 players) T:spade:
UTG checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

River: (70.3 BB, 3 players) 7:club:
UTG bets 49 BB, Hero ?

I don't think the BTN ever has a 7 here. He could have TT but that also is unlikely to check the turn due to stack sizes. So I think it is extremely unlikely if the BTN shows up with a better hand.

So it's a decision mostly against the UTG.
 
H

HiSociety

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For me, with UTG playing 63% this is a great value spot so u would think a shove is the best play on the river here. There's so few hands that beat us and even fewer that we expect him to have. If he has a 7 then it's annoying to lose 150bb but at least now we know that he's limp/calling X7 OOP and I guess we can use that to make thinner value bets in the future!
I think we're still quite far ahead of the Bu as well so Get in all in.
 
Aces2w1n

Aces2w1n

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For me just a call on the river. Only because shoving here won't get action from worse and only get called when we are beat.

Depends how in love he is with JJ and 99 I guess.

Problem with this hand is UTG is leading out river, when people do this and not great players they do believe they are good here. I guess that's why Hisociety wanted to shove here, but still not convinced we are infront but it should be still +ev to make the call.
 
IPlay

IPlay

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I flat since BTN still has to act and we could induce a loose call from him because he will think we are calling wide since villain is a mega fish. Shoving isn't bad either but I think against 2 villains I just flat.
 
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nkat

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bet turn (!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)

shove riv (!!)
 
Thinker_145

Thinker_145

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bet turn (!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)

shove riv (!!)
Why bet turn? We are deep enough that the BTN would be calling with lots of 7xs hands pre. I understand checking loses value against a fish but against a reg this isn't by any means a bet bet bet spot.
 
AntonEast

AntonEast

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I would just call, it's no idea in my opinion to go all-in beaches he will probably fold if he doesn't have you beaten and if he had you beaten you will only loose more. He shouldn't have you beaten it definitely looks like a bluff in my eyes. If he has a KK or AA he would probably have raise preflop the only hand I think he could have that beat you is A7, maybe tens. But again, without any reads on him though, it definitely looks like a bluff.
 
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nkat

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Why bet turn? We are deep enough that the BTN would be calling with lots of 7xs hands pre.

they should be calling with 75s/76s/79s/K7s/A7s that's 10 combos plus 3 55s,TTs = 16

66,88,99 = 18 + flush draws, 5x hands


I understand checking loses value against a fish
exactly!!

but against a reg this isn't by any means a bet bet bet spot.
true.. I'd be shutting down if reg called turn bet
 
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