$50 NLHE 6-max: Tough river call?

Ducky7

Ducky7

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iPoker - £0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: (VPIP: 29.83, PFR: 22.75, 3Bet Preflop: 9.70, Hands: 257)
CO: £42.09 (VPIP: 45.59, PFR: 5.88, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 70)
BTN: £50.00 (VPIP: 21.12, PFR: 15.91, 3Bet Preflop: 5.09, Hands: 1,727)
SB: £20.00 (VPIP: 26.17, PFR: 21.83, 3Bet Preflop: 9.28, Hands: 905)
Hero (BB): £74.83 (VPIP: 23.29, PFR: 20.48, 3Bet Preflop: 5.95, Hands: 257)
UTG: £50.72 (VPIP: 22.98, PFR: 15.32, 3Bet Preflop: 6.35, Hands: 508)

SB posts SB £0.25, Hero posts BB £0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: £0.75) Hero has Q<font color='black'>♠</font> Q<font color='red'>♦</font>

fold, MP raises to £1.50, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to £5.00, MP calls £3.50

Flop: (£10.25, 2 players) 4<font color='red'>♦</font> 3<font color='red'>♦</font> 3<font color='black'>♠</font>
Hero bets £5.00, MP calls £5.00

Turn: (£20.25, 2 players) 7<font color='red'>♦</font>
Hero bets £15.00, MP calls £15.00

River: (£50.25, 2 players) J<font color='black'>♠</font>
Hero checks, MP bets £26.38.
 
Ducky7

Ducky7

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QQdd

433dds
7d
Js

River? Call right?
 
R

rw11687

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Yeah, definitely a call in my book.
 
K

Karametric

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seems like a call to me. likely the only hand you have to worry about is Jacks (which will happen seldomly)
 
H

hffjd2000

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I call likewise.

If he has set or trips, so be it.
 
John A

John A

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I'm probably checking the turn a ton there, but outside of that you have to c/c getting that price against that kind of opponent. He seems a little laggy.
 
duggs

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I don't see what he bets on river that we beat? really hard for him to get there with much if any air.

I wouldn't default to betting turn,

but as played if prefer b>>x/c
whether x/f>b I'm unsure about.
 
XXPXXP

XXPXXP

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my first choice is call
but after thinking his range, I would rethink to baby raise for thin value

since MP flats your 3bet
his range is mostly connected, and pair heavy.

pair board flop turn call your double barrel.
there is no reason there is a set or better in his hand.

the river J is a little bad cards, but considering that
J completes his most AJ, JT range. and it is a bluff cards for him.
you are only beat by some JJ here.

and considering that his AJ JT might bet call, some TT, 99 might crying call here. and JJ might raise here.
I would thin value here and fold to his jam.

hope he crying call some middle pair. for some weak pair like 66,55, 33 whatever you beat, you beat, there is no need to showdown. you already got the value here.

PS: don't know what the stack size of MP have, based on MP have the same stack size as yours, but if MP only have 100BB, I would consider all in here.
 
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