Originally Posted by Zybomb
Is villain ambitious enough to turn Ac Tx or Qc Qx into a bluff here thinking you'll fold better? At these stakes I'd assume not.
I don't really see a particular bluff he could have outside of 98 here (which gains showdown value which most of the time discourages people from bluffing) and I'd have to assume with his overbet river shove his range is polarized to 5 card hands and bluffs.
On the other hand your play does look incredibly weak from the weak turn bet and river check, so an observant villain could see this as a steal opportunity. He is also very likely to 4 bet the flop if we indeed does have Ac Jc, Ac Qc or Ac Kc.... I'd still probably fold bc of the above though.
As far as the turn goes I would much rather either check call, or make a real bet. I think by doing this, it will discourage villain from bluffing the river as it looks like we are check calling the river if we do check.
The only bluff i could find in his range was 89 too. If he had a 6 it would be A6c and im sure he would have jammed the flop after my c/r.
(this was after looking at the hand afterwards)
With my weak turn bet i hoped he'd raise me on with any decent high club or two pair like 10 8 78, any good made hand that couldn't handle the wet board.
But i think in hind sight a check call or a bigger bet should have been my play, leaning towards the bet bigger.
As for the river, he seen me bet smallish on the turn looking weak with a one pair hand or two pair, why would he over bet if he wanted a call from me to continue with worse?
Just some thoughts i had when i looked back at the hand.
3 bettings 7's is something i border line on, but maybe in this situation against this villian who's perceived range hit this pretty hard would have folded pre and left me without having to play oop which sucks ass.