$50 NLHE 6-max: $ NLHE 6-max: Good spot to pick an overbet bluff?

K

Kidsoldja

Enthusiast
Silver Level
Joined
May 14, 2010
Total posts
46
Chips
0
$50 NL HE 6-max: $ NL HE 6-max: Good spot to pick an overbet bluff?

I have a reasonable amount of history with this villain-about 3200 hands. He is a pretty decent TAG (20/16 with cbet% of 49/67/56 on the flop/turn/river) in my opinion who knows I don't like to play really big pots unless I have a very good hand. Moreover, if he has been paying careful attention he might have picked up that if I make a big hand on the river I almost always lead out OOP instead of going for the checkraise. Therefore, he should know that I almost never have a 5 in this spot and that I am pot controlling with a decent hand like AJ/KJ.

full tilt poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players

CO: $40.60
BTN: $26.19
SB: $29.52
Hero (BB): $25.86
UTG: $27.10

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with J
spade.gif
A
spade.gif

1 fold, CO raises to $0.85, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.80) 2
diamond.gif
6
diamond.gif
J
heart.gif
(2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25

Turn: ($4.30) 4
spade.gif
(2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $3.00, Hero calls $3

River: ($10.30) 3
club.gif
(2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $35.50,
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
Silver Level
Joined
Jan 2, 2007
Total posts
8,819
Chips
0
I want to do something aggressive at some point. I'm caught between check/raising the flop, and donking the river. But as played, it looks like a fine fold to me, as he'll have more 5's in his range than you will. He's going to be leveraging you off a hand a pretty decent chunk of the time, but it has to work like 75% of the time for him to profit, so we can probably fold a ton of our range unexploitably.

And if the TAG is this good postflop (that he can hand-read you on AJ/KJ), I'd then lean towards 3-betting pre. Playing OOP against good players SUUXXXXXX.
 
K

Kidsoldja

Enthusiast
Silver Level
Joined
May 14, 2010
Total posts
46
Chips
0
In the actual hand I really, really wanted to call since it seemed like he would only make such a big bet if he desperately wanted me to fold. We have enough history that I think he knows that I almost never calling in this spot with the top pair type hand that I have and that is basically face up.

But in the end I wimped out and folded. Then he showed A9 of diamonds for the bluff!
 
womackcali02

womackcali02

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Sep 6, 2009
Total posts
102
Chips
0
I would of reraised preflop to see where I was at and definetly raise the flop. I think you gave him the oppurtunity to suckout of he was on a draw and also you showed weakness giving him the ability to use that against you by bluffing you out of the hand.
 
Top