€50 NLHE 6-max: Facing a massive river over shove?

Thinker_145

Thinker_145

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iPoker - €0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 228.18 BB (VPIP: 47.73, PFR: 25.57, 3Bet Preflop: 8.64, hands: 183)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 22.03, PFR: 13.56, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 60)
Hero (UTG): 103.4 BB
MP: 61 BB (VPIP: 41.46, PFR: 26.83, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 41)
CO: 138.14 BB (VPIP: 27.47, PFR: 22.46, 3Bet Preflop: 8.04, Hands: 6,500)
BTN: 100.48 BB (VPIP: 20.33, PFR: 15.80, 3Bet Preflop: 5.84, Hands: 6,073)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J:diamond: K:diamond:

Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2 BB, fold

Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 9:spade: K:club: 5:club:
SB checks, Hero bets 4.2 BB, SB calls 4.2 BB

Turn: (14.4 BB, 2 players) J:club:
SB checks, Hero checks

River: (14.4 BB, 2 players) 3:heart:
SB bets 221.48 BB, Hero ?

I checked the turn to call any pot bet on the river but this???
 
ConDeck

ConDeck

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This is a fold without any specific reads IMO, it looks like what it probably is, a massive value bet to look bluffy by sets +, probably flush annoyed that you didn't bet the turn for a XR. I'm just not sticking in 90+ bb with such a marginal hand when I only have 7bb committed and I'm beat most of the time. Villain seems fishy so just wait for a better spot and take his stack when you know your ahead...

Edit: missed the turned 2P, apologies. I think it is still a fold however we do now beat some of his random 2P hands, weird lines with AK/KQ and bluffs that we beat before.

What is villains aggression factor and do you have any specific reads on opp?
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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You fold, this is QT or two clubs almost always.
 
M

Marginal

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he thinks that you know that he knows that you know that he knows that you know that it looks like a bluff.

but its not. its never a bluff.
 
Thinker_145

Thinker_145

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I forgot to add in a rather important detail that he had been doing this for the last few rounds and even though there was never a showdown but I just don't feel like he could be making monsters that many times. I was actually expecting this when I checked the turn but its just such a tough decision nevertheless.

By rounds I don't mean consecutive hands but like he had been doing this once or twice a round.

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