$5 PLO 6-max: Should I shove this river?
I am very, very new to PLO. I only have about 7k hands under my belt. I'm stilll getting the hang of it. That said, I know QQxx84ss is not a quality hand. I call because I can't help myself, and I am on the button and believe that it might help me on my uphill climb when playing with sub-par values.
Hero [BTN]: $9.13
Hero is dealt:
* UTG raises to $0.15
, 1 fold
, UTG+2 calls $0.15, Hero calls $0.15, 2 folds
* UTG checks, UTG+2 checks, Hero checks
I considered betting here, after both other players showed some weakness. The board isn't exceptionally scary, and it could be hard for them to call with a naked club draw. But, I don't have much to fall back on if I get called. And, I have been attacking a lot of pots when they're checked to me on the button. I checked behind, to see if they still showed no interest on the turn. I won't be able to check it back again on a blank turn, if they both check.
* UTG bets $0.52
, UTG+2 calls $0.52, Hero raises to $2.60
, UTG calls $2.08, UTG+2 calls $2.08
Alright, this isn't a blank turn. I hit my set, and I pick up a weak heart draw (just in case I am up against KK). UTG leads out for a pot-sized bet. This card could have helped him, or he could have been hoping that I would bet the flop. UTG+2 calls, and I pot. With two flush draws out and the possible straight wraps, I'm charging full price to see the river. I don't mind getting called here, but it wouldn't have been bad to pick up this pot anyway.
* UTG checks, UTG+2 checks, Hero ???
UTG has $1.77, UTG+2 has me covered, I have $6.38 left (~75% pot shove). Both flush draws missed, but the straights hit. Again, they check to me. Again, I worry that they are setting me up because I have a reputation at this table of firing repeatedly. Of course, they could both just be checking because they missed. I may be over-thinking their thought process.
Anyway, I am leaning towards checking this back here. I have strong showdown potential, and I can't really put either of the other two on worse hands that call if I shove. I feel like I am only getting called when I am beat, and everything worse folds anyway. About the only hand that I lose to that *might* fold would be J-9-x-x, and there's a good chance that hand might call to keep me honest.