$5 NLHE Full Ring: TP + FD against a flop raise

LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
UTG+1 ($5.07)
MP1 ($5)
MP2 ($5.09)
CO ($4.52)
Button ($5.40)
SB ($3.35)
Hero (BB) ($5)
UTG ($14.25)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9
club.gif
, J
club.gif

5 folds, Button calls $0.05, SB calls $0.03, Hero checks

Flop: ($0.15) 9
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, 5
club.gif
, 7
club.gif
(3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.15, Button raises to $0.45, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.35, Button raises to $5.35 (All-In), Hero calls $3.60 (All-In)

Turn: ($10.05) 10
diamond.gif
(2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($10.05) A
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(2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $10.05 | Rake: $0.50

BTN is 22 / 1 (!) / 0.8 3bet :D over 2.9k hands (most of it in 2NL).
AF 0.9 (!), 11%

Anyway, this has to be an overpair of maybe a set, I think he doesn't have much random low crap that gives him 2 pairs/straights but if he does that is good for my equity. He raises AA and only AA so that one hand is out.

Now that I had time to play with Poker Stove, I see that against TT-KK and sets I am actually 44% underdog.

For some reason I was convinced he has a big PP and against QQ-KK I am only 48% dog and there is dead money in the pot that compensates that.

1. Stack off or call? If I just call and hit my flush he maybe doesn't pay off every time. Also if I miss turn my equity is crap.

Results below:
Button had K
spade.gif
, K
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(one pair, Kings).
Hero had 9
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, J
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(one pair, nines).
Outcome: Button won $9.55
 
B

baudib1

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 2, 2008
Total posts
6,635
Chips
0
totally standard, you flopped the effective nuts so get it in, never folding.
 
A

AvaloNNN

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Jun 14, 2013
Total posts
241
Chips
0
I jam this 90% of the time or call the shove, whatever. Standard play.
 
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