$5 NLHE Full Ring: QQ to reraise on FD/SD flop

fletchdad

fletchdad

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19/11 over 36 hands, I dont really know anything about him.....



Poker Stars - $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em (8 players)
Poker Stars Hand Converter Tool from CardsChat.com

SB: $8.12
BB: $4.04
UTG: $7.63
UTG+1 Hero: $16.07
MP: $5.29
MP+1: $8
CO: $4.43
BTN: $4.03
Porceveer - Sitting Out

Pre-flop: ($0.07) Hero is UTG+1 and dealt :qs4: :qc4:
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.15, 3 folds, BTN calls $0.15, SB calls $0.13, BB folds

Flop: ($0.50) :6s4: :5d4: :9s4: (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.28, BTN raises to $0.70, SB folds, Hero ???
 
jbbb

jbbb

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Fold imo. Pretty hard to do but you're not beating much apart from a bluff and this player will rarely bluff, even with a FD unless its like T8s or something which your flipping with anyway
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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If villain raises all overpairs it's still a fold:

Board: 6s 5d 9s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 62.473% 60.64% 01.84% 22811 691.50 { 99+, 66-55, 87s }
Hand 1: 37.527% 35.69% 01.84% 13426 691.50 { QcQs }

Even if we add in a weirdly played 77/88 we're still a dog. Take out QQ+ and we're still a dog.

Only way we're ahead is essentially if he's raising TT-JJ, doesn't have KK+ in his range, semibluffs his gutshot+pairs instead of flatting them, has a ton of weak FDs in his range, which given the texture, he won't (most draws have an over or two, a pair or a gutshot to go with it), or some combination of the above.
 
Nathan Williams

Nathan Williams

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Pretty close spot. I will definitely just ship over a lot here given his stack size and being a relative unknown. Folding is probably a bit better play though. He's probably got a big draw even if we are ahead.
 
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