$5 NLHE Full Ring: KK vs. a probable FD on A high board

LD1977

LD1977

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MP1: $5.00
MP2: $11.95
CO: $3.33
BTN: $5.22
SB: $8.17
BB: $7.62
Hero (UTG): $9.15
UTG+1: $3.75
UTG+2: $6.04

MP1 posts a big blind ($0.05)

Pre Flop: ($0.12) Hero is UTG with K :spade: K :diamond:
Hero raises to $0.25, 3 folds, MP2 calls $0.25, 4 folds

Flop: ($0.62) J :club: 7 :diamond: 6 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.62, MP2 calls $0.62

Turn: ($1.86) A :club: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.93, MP2 calls $0.93

River: ($3.72) Q :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $3.72, Hero folds

MP2 is 32 / 15 / 2.4 (28%) over 182 hands.
(Notes: Raise UTG+1 with KQo and fires 3 barrels on Q high board.)

Now, I am obviously putting him on a FD here since he looks like a guy who would raise turn if he had an Ace. When FD comes (by definitions gutshots and FDs come 80% of the time in 5NL if I am the preflop raiser and have initiative :mad:) I decide to give up since I am behind pretty much anything he called 2 bets with. Correct?

I need general opinions on my line.
 
Yoshimiii

Yoshimiii

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lines fine. Turn bet does look weak though after you pot the flop, against thinking players you would adjust this but at this stake it's probably fine.
 
LD1977

LD1977

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Yeah, it is kind of obvious but I found that if I just fire away quickly (which I normally always do) people don't really pay attention to sizing.

- This way I am leaving myself space to fire a 3rd half-pot barrel if FD whiffs (and grudgingly fold to a shove). Is that a good idea or am I supposed to check/call the river here?
 
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ScottishMatt

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Best line is to check river if the FD misses. Whether you X/C or X/F is dependant on the player and their sizing. You are definitely looking to bluff catch on the river though.
 
LD1977

LD1977

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With his stats (only 28% aggro frequency):
- Is he more likely to bluff river or just check back?
- Is he likely to call river with some kind of weaksauce pair (lets say he had a FD and a pair of Jacks)?

But yes now that I think about it checking river seems much better.
 
lpmduarte

lpmduarte

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after some time thinking about this hand, yes i agree that you did the right move. is not easy fold KK, but maybe i would try to put more money on the pot at the flop. That A was a really good moment to check/fold
 
Aleksei

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That flop looks terrifying. I might bet something like 1.5x to protect my hand.

Other than that I think the line is perfect. I might very well have done worse in your shoes. :D
 
LD1977

LD1977

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Thanks Aleksei but I doubt it :D

Damn, you play on 9 sites? How? :eek:
 
Aleksei

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Thanks Aleksei but I doubt it :D
No I really might have. :p I bet for super-thin value and get ridiculously spewy on occasion; it's my biggest leak by far.

Damn, you play on 9 sites? How? :eek:
No, I have accounts on 9 sites; I don't actually have any money on almost any of them. :p I actually only play on ACR plus the Bovada CC freeroll (which I am planning to play this week onwards) atm.
 
LD1977

LD1977

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My biggest leak is that I assume by default that people actually have something resembling ranges and try putting them on them according to their stats :D talk about breeding ground for mistakes!
 
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