$5 NLHE Full Ring: Am I always beat here and should fold the river?

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Tricky123bet

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PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 111.2 BB (VPIP: 16.76, PFR: 13.82, 3Bet Preflop: 3.17, hands: 342)
MP+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 9.85, PFR: 2.46, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 205)
MP+2: 129.8 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 12.75, 3Bet Preflop: 3.64, Hands: 417)
CO: 44.2 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
BTN: 14.4 BB (VPIP: 23.08, PFR: 23.08, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
Hero (SB): 100 BB
BB: 113.8 BB (VPIP: 28.93, PFR: 14.88, 3Bet Preflop: 1.92, Hands: 122)
UTG: 104 BB (VPIP: 14.34, PFR: 9.95, 3Bet Preflop: 2.46, Hands: 2,357)
UTG+1: 102.6 BB (VPIP: 9.52, PFR: 4.76, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 43)

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A<font color='red'>♥</font> T<font color='red'>♥</font>

fold, fold, fold, fold, MP+2 raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2.6 BB, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (9 BB, 3 players) 8<font color='black'>♠</font> T<font color='red'>♦</font> 3<font color='black'>♠</font>
Hero checks, BB checks, MP+2 bets 6 BB, Hero calls 6 BB, fold

Turn: (21 BB, 2 players) 3<font color='red'>♥</font>
Hero checks, MP+2 bets 16 BB, Hero calls 16 BB

River: (53 BB, 2 players) 6<font color='black'>♠</font>
Hero checks, MP+2 bets 104.8 BB and is all-in, Hero?

Villain also has 81% flop cbet (13/16), 75% turn cbet (3/4), 100% river cbet (1/1), 16% RFI in MP (11/69) and AF 2.17.
Does a player like this ever triple barrel bluff at the micros? The most obvious draw he could be double barrelling gets there, so I suppose I should fold the river? He obviously also has AA-TT and 88 still that could happily be shoving river. It just feels dumb to call the turn barrel if it's likely that he will shove river. Fold turn already or is that too weak?
 
Figaroo2

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Easy fold against a player with those stats. He's a caller preflop rather than an aggro. The vast majority of the time once lots of BB are going in from this sort of player then 1 pair is rarely good.
 
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Tricky123bet

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Easy fold against a player with those stats. He's a caller preflop rather than an aggro. The vast majority of the time once lots of BB are going in from this sort of player then 1 pair is rarely good.

Okay, but should I fold on the turn already, or does everything look standard to you?
 
Figaroo2

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Okay, but should I fold on the turn already, or does everything look standard to you?
Well that depends on how often he double barrels. If it's a low turn barrel% then easy fold. If he has a high turn barrel % then there's going to be some bluffs there so you need to call some turns and look for more information on the river.
You want to be factoring in their overall levels of aggression into to your decision making when calling down.
I would have called this turn looking at 81/75 barreling rates
 
No1eJoker

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What do you think that he has, a full house??
 
Aces2w1n

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Yep def a full house

But another thing is whats the bottom of opponents range or majority of.

I cant see us beating even some of his bluffs like jj qq kk aa etc.

I think hes pushed allin hoping u got flush


What do we beat villain with 99 or 8x or kt lol... now all of a sudden things are simplified
Unless our villain is tilting spazzing hard its an easy choice
 
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Diegol

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Not an easy fold but you only have a bluffcatcher and you are way behind all the other hands
 
Aces2w1n

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Oop im more likely 3betting and want to take charge

My line headsup would be raise 12 or 15 pre 3bet.

Then 3/4 flop and then half pot turn. Most times ill have the money go my way
 
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Tricky123bet

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Oop im more likely 3betting and want to take charge

My line headsup would be raise 12 or 15 pre 3bet.

Then 3/4 flop and then half pot turn. Most times ill have the money go my way
+1
I was thinking too that 3betting preflop would have been a better route.
I think he can still have at least AA and KK that would triple barrel. It's the micros after all. But it doesn't matter because I'm beat by those hands anyway.
 
John A

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It's a pretty straight forward fold, and generally against more passive opponents at micro stakes I think you make more money leading that turn. You'll get too many check behinds, you can control pot size. Take advantage of the players you're against and their exploitable weaknesses and make poker easier. You're not playing high stakes.

As played, river is a fold. And here's another easy maxim. Your opponent is trying to fold our Tx and below... can't he bet just slightly above pot to get the same result from most of your range?
 
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