$5 NLHE Full Ring: AA vs unknown on a small flop, 3bet pot

LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
MP1 ($4.40)
MP2 ($5.99)
CO ($6.27)
Button ($4.33)
SB ($4.55)
Hero (BB) ($5.48)
UTG ($5.12)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A
spade.gif
, A
club.gif

3 folds, CO bets $0.20, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.80, CO calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.62) 9
spade.gif
, 5
heart.gif
, 2
spade.gif
(2 players)
Hero bets $1.21, CO calls $1.21

Turn: ($4.04) 3
heart.gif
(2 players)
Hero bets $3.47 (All-In), CO calls $3.47

River: ($10.98) 8
club.gif
(2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $10.98 | Rake: $0.54

This guy is 17 / 4 over only 140 hands with no notes, never 3bet. AF 1.4, 21%.

On the flop I normally cbet, he calls.

Turn I just jam since the pot is so big nothing else makes much sense. Though, I am thinking he might easily have a set here (against most known decent 5NL regs this is a set 100% of the time after flop call). He would fold AK/AQ by now for sure and that only leaves overpairs and sets.

1. Line check? Bet sizing post flop? I kind of forced myself to shove turn there.

Results below:
Hero had A
spade.gif
, A
club.gif
(one pair, Aces).
CO had K
heart.gif
, K
spade.gif
(one pair, Kings).
Outcome: Hero won $10.44
 
B

baudib1

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 2, 2008
Total posts
6,635
Chips
0
A lot of points of interest in what is basically a standard hand here:

1. Your cbet size is a little on the big size for a 3-bet pot, especially when the preflop raise was 16 BBs. But if you want to get it in over 2 instead of 3 it's fine.

2. It doesn't really apply here because this guy is not thinking about your range, but when you have blockers to a nut draw, realizing that opponents can assign you nut draws can help you get paid off. In this case, flush draws are rarer in 3-bet pots but you have blockers to the only real draw (AsKs). When you find yourself in this situation, you can bet stronger as we know it's in our range and they can't have it.

3. Regs flat 16 BBs pre with 55 and 22? I'd expect a set here close to 0% of the time, and this guy never raises 55/22. He has an overpair here and there's no card to come that you can fold on.
 
LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
Against 3x raise they setmine 100% of the time. I am now introducing bigger 3bet sizes as advised by DK to get that shit down a bit or at least make it borderline instead of immediately profitable.

Yeah with his PFR range he probably doesn't have small pairs here, you are right and I missed that while playing... has to be another overpair for sure. The only caveat is very small sample which makes stats somewhat unreliable.
 
B

baudib1

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 2, 2008
Total posts
6,635
Chips
0
You can 3-bet larger OOP and in MW pots but don't do it IP vs. a single raiser. You can make setmining unprofitable immediately by polarizing your range.

Small sample size is no excuse to not understand someone's range. If you see someone open limp 77 or AJs or show down AK after flat-calling preflop, that's a lot of information.
 
LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
But if they call 3bets a lot shouldn't I merge my 3bet range for value?
 
H

Henreiman

Visionary
Silver Level
Joined
Feb 17, 2008
Total posts
560
Chips
0
But if they call 3bets a lot shouldn't I merge my 3bet range for value?


You're playing 5nl...they're not worrying about analyzing your 3betting range and finding exploitable spots because of too much/lack of polarization. Just play their stats and your cards and you'll be profitable. Don't level yourself out of $$$

As for this hand, super standard jam. Since you seem to care about balancing, considering that shoving here also balances all your AK/AQ and FD jams.
 
Top