$5 NLHE 6-max: What do you do when the FD gets there???

Alucard

Alucard

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Fold to 3Bet - 80%, AF = 0
Fold to Cbet flop - 25%, in 3bet pots - 0/1

looks like a chaser. Because of this particular reason I'm leaning towards betting more on turn. Possibly an overbet as well.

partypoker - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BTN: 145.4 BB (VPIP: 28.21, PFR: 10.26, 3Bet Preflop: 2.78, hands: 80)
SB: 143.4 BB (VPIP: 24.93, PFR: 17.06, 3Bet Preflop: 8.24, Hands: 386)
Hero (BB): 106.4 BB
UTG: 138 BB (VPIP: 19.00, PFR: 14.00, 3Bet Preflop: 5.13, Hands: 102)
MP: 104.6 BB (VPIP: 39.78, PFR: 13.44, 3Bet Preflop: 2.90, Hands: 193)
CO: 100.4 BB (VPIP: 22.47, PFR: 17.79, 3Bet Preflop: 7.68, Hands: 6,104)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Kh Kc
fold, fold, CO raises to 2 BB, BTN calls 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 11.2 BB, fold, BTN calls 9.2 BB

Flop : (24.8 BB, 2 players) 8d 7s Qd
Hero bets 13.4 BB, BTN calls 13.4 BB

Turn : (51.6 BB, 2 players) 2h
Hero bets 32 BB, BTN calls 32 BB

River : (115.6 BB, 2 players) 6d
 
Figaroo2

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Bet bigger for value from Qx both flop and turn.River bet 50% pot, fold to a raise. You seem focused on the flush, in 3 bet pots there will be far less flush draws than usual. Something like AQ is much more likely.
 
Alucard

Alucard

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betting half pot on river means we are shoving unless my math is wrong.Even if we bet less, we are heavily priced in for a call on a shove
 
Figaroo2

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Just shove then AQ will pay you off. Just don't fixate on the flush here.
 
nucl

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You are beating only Qx in that board. So shoving the river you will get called only by better hands and all the worse value hands will probably fold there.
The most obvious draws get there, all the FD and T9.
So if you believe that villain is never 3b on the flop a draw then c/f seems reasonable. Unless you have history with this player.
 
Ahoy

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Check fold, he aint betting the river unless he has you beat I think
 
Figaroo2

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Yeah he's going to check down his AQ which is exactly why you should bet here.There are 12 combos of AQ and 6 of QK and maybe a few QJs.
There are 4 combos of T9s plus the AdKd AdJd maybe the odd KdJd KdTd but to a 3bet id fold all T9 and Kx suited here I dont want to get dominated.
It's a clear value bet for me.
 
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JacksonBrown

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Yeah he's going to check down his AQ which is exactly why you should bet here.There are 12 combos of AQ and 6 of QK and maybe a few QJs.
There are 4 combos of T9s plus the AdKd AdJd maybe the odd KdJd KdTd but to a 3bet id fold all T9 and Kx suited here I dont want to get dominated.
It's a clear value bet for me.

+1....


Agree I don't think he will have too many flushes.
 
terryk

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Your right,he`s sticky for a reason,,,maybe 9-10,j-10 perhaps also,but tptk seems plausible.I agree.make he pay on turn.;)
 
B

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"looks like a chaser" I think so too. Some reason squeeze makes former fish to go back to old habits, especially this line, call SB, not folding to raise from most annoying position. Also it's quite normal that squeezer goes berserk.

Given all the draws got there, he might call with AQ, maybe even wider, but in my books if he has Qx it’s most likely a weaker one putting you to draw (because he needs an excuse to call). This is assuming meta is still same and 2bb raise from CO is read to be a fishy move, that would imo make his play clearer, because then it’s easier for villain to think that hero just read CO weak. Only secondary is slow play, still plausible, but not that common.

The reason for betting would be that he would seize the moment and bluff you out by betting worse for value regularly. bluffing with air would be quite hard here.

Above is just a though process, nothing to do with ranges and facts.
 
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