$5 NLHE 6-max: Turn check raise bluff.
Villain is a reg with a C-bet stat of 60%
PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (SB): 113.2 BB
BB: 101.4 BB (VPIP: 39.13, PFR: 39.13, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 23)
UTG: 105.8 BB (VPIP: 21.28, PFR: 13.83, 3Bet Preflop: 4.35, Hands: 193)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 21.58, PFR: 14.39, 3Bet Preflop: 4.63, Hands: 282)
BTN: 121.4 BB (VPIP: 23.81, PFR: 19.05, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero
, CO raises to 3 BB
calls 2.6 BB, fold
Flop: (7 BB, 2 players)
checks, CO bets 4.4 BB
calls 4.4 BB
Turn: (15.8 BB, 2 players)
checks, CO bets 9.8 BB
, Hero raises to 25 BB
, CO calls 15.2 BB
River: (65.8 BB, 2 players)
Hero bets 46 BB
My pre flop call is questionable but not terrible I think.
Now when I flat the flop I am aware that I am behind Villains C-betting range but I know that there are a lot turn of cards that I can bluff on, I don't know if this is good thinking or not.
The turn is like the best bluffing card IMO, it directly hits my pre flatting and flop calling range. When villain bets again I'm almost certain that they have an Ace but I think I can make them fold it. I thought they would fold it to the check raise but apparently not. I thought that a hand like AQ with the Q of diamonds would be happy to get it in here so the flat led me to believe more strongly in them having Ax without a diamond.
I think that villain definitely checks back the river so I need to be donking to take it down, the Kd does give villain 2 pair a fair amount of the time but its hard for them to call it off on such a scary board I thought.
Is this thinking ok or am I spewing? And what do you guys think of my sizings?