Originally Posted by Beasty2k
Appreciate the input, thanks!
What if villain had not overbet, i.e. half to 3/4 pot on turn, and same on river? Does this change things?
I did not read much into the bet sizing to be honest, a river jam is all that's left after my bet so I don't see how this is an overbet.
Think of it like this...
If you raise preflop, you are showing initiative. You need to continue with the aggression, expecially OOP. Everything gets out of whack otherwise. You have no idea where you are in the hand, etc.
If you are the one applying the pressure, it is easier to get reads, ranges, etc.
If you check, he is probably just going to bet and see if he can steal it.
Now, if you bet, and he raises you..... Maybe he has a big queen, a set, two pair, a big draw, etc. If he just calls, fire again on turn.
But by checking the flop and turn, you have basically surrendered the hand. You are giving the upper hand to villain.
If you are going to raise blind vs. blind, have the guts to see it through. Don't let anyone run you over.
And if he bet 3/4 pot or around that, it would be a little more standard I guess. But you are the raiser, do not give him that opportunity.
Taking such a passive line, you are putting yourself in a really tough spot. He has you on the ropes, and you are the one facing the tough decisions now. Make HIM make tough decisions. Put the pressure on HIM. You flopped a decent hand, and turned an even better hand. Very unlikely villain has you beat here.
You showed weakness on the flop and turn, and then you tried to bet the river. It was too late by then. Villain could have Q-x, and honestly think he has the best hand at this point. But I don't even think villain had Q-x.... I think he had an even weaker hand than that.