If he folds, then your plan worked. If he doesent, then it did not.
I dont think you can see him as a reg due to stack size alone. I have seen players who cannot fold at all build massive stacks simply because they CANNOT fold, and hit 3-4 time in hands they play.
C/R is often a semi bluff here for exactly the reasons you show. AKs (and KQs as well..lol) will play this way, sets and other overpairs.
Without reads it is risky, but then again, I know a lot of players who take this line of aggression, so I guess it is a matter of playing style.
So, to sum up: I think it is a risky but justifiable play. If he jams, then it is a matter of math. You have to pay $2 to win apx. 10 (IDK how much rake is taken) so 5:1 pot odds
, and you have 9 outs vs his range. You may have some high card outs as well. A small amount of counterfeited outs if he has exactly Axs, but this will be a small part. I havent done the math, but I am assuming you must call if he jams and be a dog.??
High variance poker.