$5 NLHE 6-max: Nut straight, a crappy river

Alucard

Alucard

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pokerstars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

MP: 99.2 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 26.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 15)
CO: 117 BB (VPIP: 28.13, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 35)
Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 100.4 BB (VPIP: 27.35, PFR: 22.35, 3Bet Preflop: 7.81, Hands: 347)
BB: 103.4 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
UTG: 78.8 BB (VPIP: 28.13, PFR: 3.13, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Ts Qs
UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, fold, BB calls 1 BB

Flop : (6.4 BB, 3 players) Jh 9c 2c
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets 4 BB, BB calls 4 BB, UTG calls 4 BB

Turn : (18.4 BB, 3 players) Kd
BB checks, UTG bets 9 BB, Hero raises to 30 BB, fold, UTG calls 21 BB

River : (78.4 BB, 2 players) 9d
UTG bets 38 BB,
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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NH, the river sucks, but given the fish's unpredictability, you have to call it down. Yeah, he'll show you KK fairly often, but AA, AK are probably in his range too.
 
Figaroo2

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Fold preflop. When a player with a pfr of 3 raises 2bb utg I'm out of there pronto. Yes he's a donk but his range is going to be very strong. As played I'm calling, it looks like AK. If he had AA or KK I'd expect a flop cbet. If he had KK id expect a bigger river sizing especially after you raised turn. If he has KK on to the next one.
 
TheBigFinn

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Villain looks like a calling station, Grant you only have 32 hands on her, but how do you get a 28.13 VPIP with PFR: 3.13 and no Preflop 3Bets? When a fishy calling station is check callong the flop and check raising the turn you gotta think she thinks she has something.

The Jh 9c 2c flop didn't appear to hit her, but she seemed to really like the Kd turn. Why? Could be 99 slow played or KK, but how many combos of those are there? 3 each. How about AA, AK? 6 and 16 respectively. Will Villain 3-bet these? If it just 1/2 pf the time you have to call



 
Robochick

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I would guess this ends in K9
 
Figaroo2

Figaroo2

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Why? Ever heard of implied odds? Just make 2 pair or better and then profit.

What range do you think a split vpip/pfr like this represents?
It's a massive red flag to just QQ+. Because they only raise the top 3% it's easier just to get out the way. Yeah you might stack them if you hit a hand but more often than not it's going cbet fold. Often enough to make this a leak.


I Just wait for a better spot. He is playing hundreds of hands an hour in this format you can play hands when the starting conditions are better.
 
Alucard

Alucard

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I Just wait for a better spot. He is playing hundreds of hands an hour in this format you can play hands when the starting conditions are better.

This was actually a regular table :D
 
Figaroo2

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It doesn't matter. He is telling you what he probably has. Take advantage or you may as well turn off your hud.

I'd probably take this spot in live poker with the benefit of live reads and only getting 40 hands an hour but you don't need to put yourself in these marginal spots online.


It's still a relatively small sample but once this pattern is set it doesn't usually change that much.


Flop top pair and you are in trouble here. It's a trouble hand.
I'd only be in here set mining where I can hit a strong made hand on the flop. QT usually needs 2 or 3 streets to make a hand strong enough to beat a premium which is basically what you are looking at here.


We take this donks money by raising and taking his limps all day. Play with the initiative where you can.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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What range do you think a split vpip/pfr like this represents?
QQ+!!!!

God, you're so close! You know he has a hand he can't fold, and you know exactly what kind of hand he has! It costs us 2bb to play in position! Is there a better spot? You set-mine, right?
 
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triplstacker

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It's a definite call on the river but I don't think I would've played it preflop either given the HUD
 
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MrSamsa

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I think you just have to sigh call on the board you under-repped your hand
 
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