$5 NLHE 6-max: NL5 wJJ BB vs SB Squeezed pot

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 57/29/3

pokerstars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players


Hero (BB): $5.00 (100 bb)
UTG: $5.25 (105 bb)
MP: $0.75 (15 bb)
CO: $4.66 (93.2 bb)
BTN: $5.00 (100 bb)
SB: $7.63 (152.6 bb)

SB posts $0.02, Hero posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.12, SB calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, fold, SB calls $0.38




Flop: ($1.12, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.64, SB calls $0.64

Villian range here: 22-JJ,AJs-AQs,KQs,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,AQo
I got 70% eq

Turn: ($2.40, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Villan rainge after cbet call:
TT,88,AcJc,KcQc,QcJc,JdJc,JcTc,Td9d,Th9h,Ts9s,9d9h,9d9s,9h9s,9d8d,9h8h,9s8s,8c7c,7d7s,7d7c,7s7c,3d3h,3d3s,3h3s,AcQc

i only got 55.83%

River: ($2.40, 2 players)
SB bets $1.70, Hero calls $1.70

villan range on the river: AcJc,KcQc,QcJc,JcTc,9d9h,9d9s,9h9s,8d8h,8d8c,8h8c,7d7s,7d7c,7s7c,3d3h,3d3s,3h3s,AcQc

here I got only 17% wrong so calling is wrong.

I want to know if the range assign from preflop to river is correct.
Any other suggesrtions regarding playing the hand are welcome.

Results: $5.80 pot ($0.24 rake)
Final Board:

I beleive you should keep firing on the turn but as played calling is probably ok on the river.

You 3 Bet squeeze preflop and SB calls OOP would give him another range then you do and include ATs and AJo and KQo and drop 22-66.

Flop is good for you so you cBet and villain calls. On this low type of board it is hard to say with what type of hands the villain will just call.
But would assume that he will calls with most flush draws (some will check-raise AX of clubs) and all back door flush draws and with all his pairs and sets and paired hands making his range something like this.
T9s,98s,87s,KcQc,QcJc,JcTc,AhQh,AhJh,AhTh,KhQh,QhJh,JhTh,JJ,TT,99,88,77


On the turn you have ~50% equity against above range.
Would bet the turn to get folds from all diamond suited hands that only had a backdoor flush draw and maybe also get folds from his worst club flush draws he has left.

Turn goes check-check

River is the K of spades giving you 43% equity against above villains range

Villain bets ~70 pot meaning that in order to call you must have 70/(2x70+100) ~ 30% equity. So lest assume he will make the 70% pot raise with all missed hands and all value hands (top pair or better) so his betting range is now:
KcQc,QcJc,JcTc,AhQh,AhJh,AhTh,KhQh,QhJh,JhTh,99,88,77


Against that range you have 20% equity so it is a clear fold.


In the end the slightly different range and approach resulted in similar finding it is a fold.

I don’t know how many hands we have on but 57/29/3 is agro fish, thus his range is mostly unknown in any street. And he is typically quite capable value owning himself with stupid hands.

I think the turn play is questionable, this decision will lead to our decision on the river. Because we check on this turn card, I think we have to call the river bet because all the miss draw will bet this river anyway. However, if we bet this turn card, and get raise, we definitely going to call since we have a gut shot draw plus an over pair against this board; then our decision on the river would have been different. We can value bet on the river or we can check the river.

Bet turn for value! We are still way ahead of his range and get draws to pay to see a card. Betting turn also makes our river decision a lot easier if he does call.
As played though I'm probably Calling river because he has so many hands we beat. Even when he thinks he is value betting our pocket JJ are disguised with the check back on turn line.

Yes definitely betting turn here. As played call on he river is fine