$5 NLHE 6-max: Midle pair vs over agro

M

MrGreen13

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Oct 14, 2016
Total posts
147
Chips
0
888 Poker - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, hands: 25)
CO: 98.6 BB (VPIP: 35.48, PFR: 19.35, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 31)
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 5)
SB: 83.8 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 80.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
Hero (BB): 98.8 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has T:heart: Q:diamond:

fold, CO raises to 2.6 BB, fold, SB calls 2.2 BB, Hero calls 1.6 BB

Flop: (7.8 BB, 3 players) T:spade: J:diamond: J:heart:
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: (7.8 BB, 3 players) 5:club:
SB bets 5.8 BB, Hero calls 5.8 BB, fold

River: (19.4 BB, 2 players) 5:diamond:
SB bets 37 BB, Hero calls 37 BB

The villain is a crazy one, but is too risky my call?
 
froggeedogs

froggeedogs

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Mar 16, 2017
Total posts
291
Chips
0
I think he could easily have just an ace high from his stats, seems to raise preflop a lot and plays a lot of hands. of course it could be A10 in which case you would be out of luck.
also could be any jx. whatever, the river bet is incredible high and your pots odds are terrible. if he has shown himself to be a real fish maybe call, but myself, I would fold and walk away. just my opinion.
 
Beanfacekilla

Beanfacekilla

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Oct 29, 2012
Total posts
4,966
Awards
1
Chips
1
888 Poker - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 25)
CO: 98.6 BB (VPIP: 35.48, PFR: 19.35, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 31)
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 5)
SB: 83.8 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 80.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
Hero (BB): 98.8 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has T<font color='red'>♥</font> Q<font color='red'>♦</font>

fold, CO raises to 2.6 BB, fold, SB calls 2.2 BB, Hero calls 1.6 BB

Flop: (7.8 BB, 3 players) T<font color='black'>♠</font> J<font color='red'>♦</font> J<font color='red'>♥</font>
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: (7.8 BB, 3 players) 5<font color='black'>♣</font>
SB bets 5.8 BB, Hero calls 5.8 BB, fold

River: (19.4 BB, 2 players) 5<font color='red'>♦</font>
SB bets 37 BB, Hero calls 37 BB

The villain is a crazy one, but is too risky my call?


Fold. He is 2x potting it. Just not worth it man. He shows you a J or a 5 so often here. Just because people are aggro, doesn't mean they bluff as much as you think.

I want you to think back about all the things you have seen SB show down. Rack your brain. How many bluffs have you actually seen from him?

I would expect him to have J here, perhaps J-10 and he is hoping you have a J as well. Once in a while he can have 8-9 or K-Q I suppose, but I feel like he has you crushed here.
 
Beanfacekilla

Beanfacekilla

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Oct 29, 2012
Total posts
4,966
Awards
1
Chips
1
I think he could easily have just an ace high from his stats, seems to raise preflop a lot and plays a lot of hands. of course it could be A10 in which case you would be out of luck.
also could be any jx. whatever, the river bet is incredible high and your pots odds are terrible. if he has shown himself to be a real fish maybe call, but myself, I would fold and walk away. just my opinion.



Stats are totally irrelevant. It's 5 hands. No info we can use.
 
TheBigFinn

TheBigFinn

Visionary
Bronze Level
Joined
Aug 17, 2014
Total posts
586
Awards
2
Chips
0
First thin to do is disregard Villain's stats. 5 hands in nothing. Say he calls with 20% of his hands. TJJ does not hit that range especially well and you have one of the tens. I kinda want to bet the flop, but understand checking to the raiser.

The 5 of clubs is a nothing burger, I don't like the turn call. Much better to raise and force the issue. Villain is out of position and you have shown strength. If she bets out on the river, or re-raises the turn you have to fold.

As played, the over-bet looks like she is trying to push you off. I call.
 
thylmanoid

thylmanoid

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Jan 17, 2017
Total posts
115
Awards
1
Chips
0
Like people said, 5 hands is nothing. We know nothing about villain here. 3/4 bet on the turn seems like a value bet to me, and I think he hit the flop in some way. The overbet on the river is sneaky in my opinion. I don't think he's trying to push you off, otherwise he wouldn't have bet so small on the turn. I think he is trying to make you believe he is bluffing and wants you to call. I would fold to that over bet straight away.
 
S

Sidetracked

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Jun 30, 2016
Total posts
1,294
Awards
2
Chips
0
I think that's a fold. he's very polarised, but as played, could have the J
 
Top