$5 NLHE 6-max: Can I fold a full house on the river?

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Wardy88

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What do you guys think?

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 22.50, PFR: 11.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 83)
Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 101.6 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
BB: 128.4 BB (VPIP: 20.88, PFR: 16.48, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 93)
UTG: 133.4 BB (VPIP: 23.68, PFR: 18.42, 3Bet Preflop: 9.68, Hands: 77)
MP: 62.6 BB (VPIP: 32.43, PFR: 16.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 38)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J:diamond: J:spade:

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 8 BB, SB calls 7.6 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (20 BB, 2 players) J:club: K:diamond: K:club:
SB checks, Hero bets 11 BB, SB calls 11 BB

Turn: (42 BB, 2 players) 8:heart:
SB checks, Hero bets 33 BB, SB calls 33 BB

River: (108 BB, 2 players) 8:spade:
SB bets 49.6 BB and is all-in, Hero ????




Can I fold this? I was trying to range villain for a hand that does this that isn't Kx, there shouldn't be any 8x hands in villains pre flop flatting range, and the only draw is a club draw that I think most villains shouldn't be drawing to on a paired board, and then does villain shove it when any K would beat them?

If villain is bluff catching me with say 99 then don't they check call the river?
 
youregoodmate

youregoodmate

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You are getting a very good price. You only have to be right about 25% but I dont think you are good that often. I think it's a fold.
 
P

Pavelito51

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You are getting a very good price. You only have to be right about 25% but I dont think you are good that often. I think it's a fold.

you can't fold, see the price, call and nh
 
suby_rafael

suby_rafael

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Yeah think folding here is pretty easy decision here after the unfortunate way the board ran out and villain shipping on the river. Simply not a good spot to bluff catch.
 
S

swingro

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I do not like the preflop 3-bet size and the flop betsize. A little more preflop and 75% on the flop and shove turn and he will call with ~8% equity.
 
Q

quickieQ

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What are we beating here? AT , AJ, AQ and QQ probably. It's reasonable for him to have those yes

What are we repping here? Kx, 99+ , AT+ , QTs

If he thinks you are bluffing here he's rather going to check/call than donkshove the river. This is to get value.
 
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