$5 NLHE 6-max: fold equity shove vs LAG OK?

micromachine

micromachine

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Villain is very loose and aggressive, maybe a fish idk (see stats below), over a small sample size. How does that affect my fold equity and my decision to shove? You have lower fold equity against loose aggressive players because they are inherently aggressive but the fact that he is so aggressive also mean that his flop bet might be total bs

Thoughts?

pokerstars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($4.27)
Button ($5)
Hero (SB) ($5)
BB ($6.45) 84/43, 26%3bet (32 hands)
UTG ($3.93)
MP ($1.58)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K
heart.gif
, Q
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1 fold, MP calls $0.05, 2 folds, Hero bets $0.20, BB raises to $0.35, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.15

Flop: ($0.75) 10
club.gif
, 8
heart.gif
, 7
heart.gif
(2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $1.50, Hero raises to $4.65 (All-In)
 
bgomez89

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Looks like you tilted to me
 
micromachine

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wtf? I have flush draw and overs and fold equity. My question was regarding how much fold equity I have against this type of villain
 
acky100

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He is definitely a fish, sample size is irrelevant really he's an 80/40, 3bet stat is irrelevant till a good hundred hands but it doesnt matter.

well played imo, i guess he snapped called you with some type of pair, maybe with a draw. It doesnt look like we have any fold equity here when he bets so big but i dunno, he might be stupid enough to bluff fold like that. Either way we're happy cause he's gonna get all the money in when we're a favourite or fold and let us have a nice little pot for free.
 
micromachine

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The whole thing seemed fishy, the 3bet was very small and the flop-bet very big.

I was hoping he would be bluffing with AKo or something, and I could make him fold with my shove. Even if he does have a good hand, like a set, I have pretty good equity.
 
acky100

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The whole thing seemed fishy, the 3bet was very small and the flop-bet very big.

I was hoping he would be bluffing with AKo or something, and I could make him fold with my shove. Even if he does have a good hand, like a set, I have pretty good equity.

If he's bluffing with AK why do you want him to fold? I think when he bets this big on the flop he's not gonna fold much, but fish do this with all sorts of shit so i think KQ as overs and flush draw is good enough to stack here.

3bets irrelevent really, could mean anything blind vs blind with this fish, for 15c more or whatever i just call, id probably fold if it was a bigger 3bet because we're oop which sucks.
 
micromachine

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3bets irrelevent really, could mean anything blind vs blind with this fish, for 15c more or whatever i just call, id probably fold if it was a bigger 3bet because we're oop which sucks.

Yeah I called it because it was such a ridiculous 3bet. It is relevant in terms of the fact that it is another piece of evidence that he is a fish, which affects how I play the hand.
 
micromachine

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If he's bluffing with AK why do you want him to fold?

OK, I don't want AK to fold :D

I more meant - if he is bluffing then fine, I can pick up a nice pot if he folds AK. I am after-all bluffing myself!
 
acky100

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you're not bluffing! you have like 15 outs :)
 
Cafeman

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You have lower fold equity against loose aggressive players because they are inherently aggressive
Not sure I agree with that. You tend to have lower fold equity vs stations, but against a LAG, once you start showing aggression they tend to get honest pretty quick, unless they're a maniac (this guy seems like a maniac). Just because a LAG can pile on the pressure, it doesn't mean they don't fold to it. They have a wider range pre, which means we beat them by getting them to fold more against our tighter range.

With this hand, I'm not sure how much FE you have here, but that's because of his betting in this hand rather than his preflop stats. Oh and I think I'd be happy with a fold from AK, since we're not far from flipping with that surely (not stoved it though), in fact he's prob slightly ahead even.

Having said all that, I think I'd have played the hand in the same way - embrace the gamble! :D
 
bgomez89

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My bad thought you had KdQh, looks good
 
TeUnit

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sample size looks small, but i like the play against a unknown villian fish

i dont know if you can know if he has a fold button or not but dont think it matters(deeper stacks dif story)
 
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