$5 NLHE 6-max: Flop two pair, get shoved on at the turn
Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2162538
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SB: $5.00 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 10, 3B: 7, AF: 0.7, Hands: 50
BB: $5.39 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 26, 3B: 11, AF: 0.4, Hands: 58
UTG: $5.08 - VPIP: 9, PFR: 9, 3B: 5, AF: 0.0, Hands: 47
CO: $3.67 - VPIP: 34, PFR: 4, 3B: 6, AF: 5.3, Hands: 50
Hero (BTN): $10.87 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 12, 3B: 5, AF: 3.6, Hands: 364690
($0.07) Hero is BTN with K
, CO calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.25
, 2 folds
, CO calls $0.20
($0.57) 2[image: http://static.deucescracked.com/images/heart.gif] 8[image: http://static.deucescracked.com/images/spade.gif] K[image: http://static.deucescracked.com/images/heart.gif] (2 players)
CO bets $0.20
, Hero raises to $0.75
, CO calls $0.55
($2.07) J[image: http://static.deucescracked.com/images/club.gif] (2 players)
CO bets $2.67
, Hero calls $2.67
($7.41) 3[image: http://static.deucescracked.com/images/club.gif] (2 players)
Ignore the fact that I'm isolating with a hand that his limp/calling range might dominate. I'm confident that I can play profitably postflop in this scenario.
The range I assigned him for donking is any K/flush draw/set. Fairly sure he donk/calls with KT or higher and any decent flush draw. Sets will donk/min 3-bet and/or 3-bet shove. Of course this isn't set in stone so he may donk/call flop and shove turn with a set.
Anyway I snap called here knowing I would never be able to get away from my hand, I thought KJ the most likely possibility as his line is the exact way he plays this, all other hands in his range may vary in their line.
So do we think he spazzes enough worse hands to make this possible, if he plays a set this way it might not be unreasonable to think he will go crazy with a flush draw on occasion here.