$5 NLHE 6-max: Fired 2 barrels with AA IP then am donk betted on river

bgomez89

bgomez89

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poker stars $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 907596
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BTN: $5.32
SB: $8.42
BB: $5.14
UTG: $7.32
MP: $8.30
Hero (CO): $5.19

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with A
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A
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2 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, 2 folds, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.32) 5
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9
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7
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(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.20, BB calls $0.20

Turn: ($0.72) 7
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(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40

River: ($1.52) 2
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(2 players)
BB bets $0.98, Hero

villain's a 26/15/33afq only over 26 hands, i'm dead here right?
 
wrung24

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Would'nt be against raising more preflop, he will probably call 25 if he is going to call 15.

I don't think you're necessarily dead here. IMO the river card doesn't change a thing and he didn't raise the turn. On the other hand it's hard to think of a hand he would play like this, slowplay 68 ? a set ? Looks like he is a bit scared that you are going to check the river and that he will miss some value. There isn't really a big draw that missed after the flop so he isn't donkbetting that out I don't think. I also think he would check call an overpair.

I'm more confused than when I started analysing now ... oh well.

I would probably call out of curiosity, but I'm just an information junkie, should stop soon ...
 
O

onemorechance

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Meh I think making it .25 pre is kinda unecessary if OPs normal open in the CO is .15

I think I probably call in game cos of his sizing and I'm a station, but I doubt we're ahead all that often. I doubt he ever takes this line with like 9x or 10s and I'd assume he 3bets JJ+ pre

Also I probably bet more turn, like .55 or something
 
wrung24

wrung24

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Meh I think making it .25 pre is kinda unecessary if OPs normal open in the CO is .15

I meant this as a general tip (use it or not, that is entirely up to OP), obviously he should stick to a standard raise throughout a session.

I also think we are behind quite often but me no folding.
 
The Dark Side

The Dark Side

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Raise more Pre-flop.

bet more Flop.

Bet more Turn.


As played. Snap call.
 
bgomez89

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Why bet more on the flop?
 
The Dark Side

The Dark Side

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VALUE!!!!

He's calling with ALLL kinds of stuff here.
 
Dorkus Malorkus

Dorkus Malorkus

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Raise more Pre-flop.

bet more Flop.

Bet more Turn.


As played. Snap call.

Eh I disagree with most of this.

Villain's play basically indicates monster, draw, or nothing. His stats aren't hilariously bad so we can largely discount the possibility of him overplaying a weaker made hand than ours, and the board is dry so we can discount the possibility of a draw.

Yeah villain is defending a button raise so his preflop range is pretty wide, but I don't see how the flop bet is 'too small' given the dry board. AA isn't a strong enough hand on this sort of board that we should be looking to get it all in, as if we encounter stiff opposition it's likely we're in trouble.

Turn I agree is a little small given the size of the pot and may have prompted villain to continue running with a bluff (that he may otherwise have given up with) with the intention of leading any river seeing as your turn bet looks weak.

River seems pretty close to me and I don't think it's a snap-anything. I'm not sure if he has air often enough for calling to be profitable, but in practice I'd probably end up calling (especially given what I said above re: the turn) and making a note even though I expect to be shown 7x a lot of the time.
 
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