$5 NLHE 6-max: Facing a raise by a likely nit

Alucard

Alucard

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3B Pre - 3/51 (AA/AJs)
AF = 2
Cbet flop on 3bet pots - 0/2

pokerstars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BTN: 278.6 BB (VPIP: 11.97, PFR: 10.26, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, hands: 120)
SB: 102.2 BB
BB: 113.2 BB (VPIP: 23.94, PFR: 16.49, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 191)
Hero (UTG): 128.2 BB
MP: 115 BB (VPIP: 16.88, PFR: 11.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 160)
CO: 72.8 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Qd Qs
Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BTN raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 6 BB

Flop : (19.4 BB, 2 players) Tc Kh As
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn : (19.4 BB, 2 players) Ts
Hero checks, BTN bets 7 BB, Hero calls 7 BB

River : (33.4 BB, 2 players) Qh
Hero bets 17 BB, BTN raises to 57 BB,

Is this a shove & play for stacks or just a call? I don't think a J would raise this too often.
Also his 3betting range is super nitty. I'd only have TT+,AJs+, perhaps ATs, AKo perhaps AQo.
 
blueskies

blueskies

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I would probably just call.

Totally possible he flopped a set of KK or AA and slow played it, even though it's not smart to slowplay on that flop.

Maybe he has a Tx fullhouse but that's unlikely. MAYBE QT would play that way, but I doubt he would 3bet preflop an UTG raiser with QT. Any other Tx FH combo would have made two pairs on the flop and would not check the flop.

MAYBE he's raising with a J but I doubt it.
 
P

Pissed Off Pharmacist

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His preflop stats are super nitty, making AT/AJ unlikely holdings. His flop and turn play is pretty poor if he does have AA, KK, and AK, but that would be expected at $5 max. I don’t see him raising the river with AJ or JJ, and AT is a very small fraction of his hand range prior to river. I’d regrettably call, knowing that if I have set over set against him in the future, I’d take the max possible from him instead of falling short at 73 BBs.
 
S

Sidetracked

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1) I would 4 bet/call a 5 bet shove pf (120 hands is not a big enough sample to know that he is sooo nitty)

2) As played, I shove the river.

If it's a cooler, then you got really unlucky.
 
T

TDTODDY

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if you want to play for his whole stack, now is the time. If you don't shove now, when?
 
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braveslice

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Given he has slow played AA on the flop most likely at least once surely AA,KK and AK are in his range, but he seems retarded enough not to think hero’s hand at all so even though to only call seems logical choice shoving might actually be better here. Regardless his stats are so scary that I would personally just call without extra information.

His 3bet with AJs is quite odd given stats, that would suggest for me that he might be quite volatile, maybe a nit fish with static ranges, overvaluing Ax hands, but well I would not bet my stack to find out, someone else should do it for me.
 
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