$5 NLHE 6-max: Boat multiway bet size check

Alucard

Alucard

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V is a bit of a squeezer as I remember.
3bet PF = 10/101
AF =1
Cbet flop on 3bet flops = 2/3
Saw river - 62%

So when the ace turns up on the turn, I thought about for a while of the hand range I would be targeting. UTG might probably have an underpair while BB could have TT+.
So is he gonna call big sizes on turn & flop with an ace on the board??

I don't think he'd have weaker aces in his squeezing range vs early opens if so then am I gonna face up my hand as a bluff using the ace & bet big on turn & river trying to let V know as I'm trying to blow him off the pot?
But then, I wouldn't get value from TT-QQ

Also I'd assume he'd keep on betting his ace combos with the turn.

So I went with trying to get value from TT+.
thoughts???

pokerstars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BTN: 103.8 BB (VPIP: 19.37, PFR: 11.55, 3Bet Preflop: 1.91, hands: 398)
SB: 101.4 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
BB: 121.2 BB (VPIP: 23.16, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 9.90, Hands: 281)
UTG: 116.2 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 24.49, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 100)
Hero (MP): 114.4 BB
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 7.69, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 8s 8c
UTG raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to 13 BB, UTG calls 10 BB, Hero calls 10 BB

Flop : (39.4 BB, 3 players) 7s 7h 8d
BB bets 12.4 BB, UTG calls 12.4 BB, Hero calls 12.4 BB

Turn : (76.6 BB, 3 players) Ad
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets 17 BB, BB calls 17 BB, fold

River : (110.6 BB, 2 players) Kh
BB checks, Hero bets 27 BB, BB calls 27 BB
 
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MattJM68

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Personally I think forget the TT-QQ, as the amount of combo's of those are vastly outnumbered by ATs+ and AJo+ as well as the occasional 97s 76s A7s all of which you are beating. Therefore I think go for stacks, bet around 30BB on the turn to set yourself up for the remaining 60BB shove on the river into a pot of 130BB. He will be getting around 4:1 so shouldn't fold many aces. You occasionally lose to KK+ but it's so rare that you have to go for stacks.
 
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RakeMyLife

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Try not to post your thoughts prior to the hand history unless it's hard data, as it skews the analysis.

I would have played this hand completely differently, but as played I think you missed value by assuming he has a 10-10 or JJ. As noted before, AK/AQ are much more likely given his stats and the runout. In addition, his 62% saw river says he's sticky anyway. Stacks on the turn.


UTG was more likely to have the pocket pair...
 
Vilgeoforc

Vilgeoforc

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I would not rule out AK and A-Qs here. I think you needed to put half the pot on the turn or bet more on the river.
 
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