$5 NLHE 6-max: Boat facing a 4bet shove on river

Alucard

Alucard

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No reading except for HUD stats

partypoker - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

Hero (BTN): 106.6 BB
SB: 147.8 BB (VPIP: 17.19, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, hands: 66)
BB: 104.2 BB (VPIP: 22.71, PFR: 16.14, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 332)
UTG: 86.8 BB
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 14.58, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 49)
CO: 58.4 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Jh Js
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, SB calls 2.6 BB, fold

Flop : (7 BB, 2 players) As 6h Ac
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn : (7 BB, 2 players) Jd
SB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, SB calls 4 BB

River : (15 BB, 2 players) Qc
SB bets 10.8 BB, Hero raises to 28 BB, SB raises to 140.8 BB and is all-in, Hero ???
 
Lorpugo

Lorpugo

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call he has 2 pairs and cant put you on trips
 
froggeedogs

froggeedogs

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putting him on a straight at best, he just called raise and turn bet, saw the queen on the river to go with his k10. you pretty much have to call regardless.
imo
 
twizzybop

twizzybop

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I don't see any reason folding a boat here. At best villan has Ace X.. possibility of pocket 66's which you dominate. Plus the SB does 3 Bet with strong hands so I wouldn't put him on aces or queens. Only 2 hands that could beat you with a small possibility of villan having ace/jack or ace/6. His re-raise overbet on the river screams he does have an ace so I would call.
 
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braveslice

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Hero folds obviously.

Well that was without analyse =) Hopefully I'm wrong. It's boring when all hero can do is to fold, fold, fold OTR.
 
taurusix

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Hero calls xxxBB and is all-in )
Did he have 66 or A10/K10?
 
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Papier24

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So the only hands that beat you are A6, AJ, AQ, AA and QQ.
I think this player would almost always 3bet AA and QQ. AJ is not very likely since you already have 2 Jacks in your hand. OOP this player might even 3bet preflop with AQ. A6s is definetely an option but I personally would certainly call in this your position.
 
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braveslice

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Hero calls xxxBB and is all-in )
Did he have 66 or A10/K10?

He had AQ, only hand hero beats is 66. I have fourth street of information compared to hero :captain:
And yes I really hope I'm wrong, not to say I would not be embarrassed for 4 hours for that but sill...

EDIT: 2 hours
 
Alucard

Alucard

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He had AQ, only hand hero beats is 66. I have fourth street of information compared to hero :captain:
And yes I really hope I'm wrong, not to say I would not be embarrassed for 4 hours for that but sill...

EDIT: 2 hours

:adore:
 
Beanfacekilla

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Fold. As hard as it may be, this guy could easily have AQ here. That's what it sounds like.

He has a FH.the only full house we beat is 6-6. A-6, A-J, and A-Q prob all play this way.
 
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KFlint

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Having invested only less than 1/3 of your stack in it, fold without thinking too much about it.
 
Figaroo2

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At these stakes a reraise of your river raise is always a nutted hand. bluffing doesn't work because we aren't good enough to fold. He would only do this with aces full of something so unlucky.
 
M

MrSamsa

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So the only hands that beat you are A6, AJ, AQ, AA and QQ.
I think this player would almost always 3bet AA and QQ. AJ is not very likely since you already have 2 Jacks in your hand. OOP this player might even 3bet preflop with AQ. A6s is definetely an option but I personally would certainly call in this your position.

This is pretty quality actually... List the hands that beat you eleminate the ones that dont make any sense situationaly count the combos they make up divide it by combos of value shoves /bluffs you have beat and voila that is the percentage of times you loose.


I of course didn't do that in a month old thread but for whoever looks i'm sure you are ahead enough of the time to call pretty often here
 
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Blair29

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Villains stats don't suggest he's just flatting AJ or AQ. But its a limited sample size though so its kinda guess work.

Just because of that I'm calling off 100% of the time here. If villain has the A6d or AJ its a cooler.
 
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